Race 5A

penbay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Jeff Goodrich 4.8% 6.6% 7.4% 7.2% 6.8% 6.9% 7.0% 7.1% 7.3% 7.8% 6.1% 7.1% 6.8% 5.4% 3.3% 2.4%
George Saunders 6.8% 8.5% 7.7% 7.5% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 7.7% 7.0% 6.9% 5.5% 6.5% 6.6% 4.0% 2.4% 1.3%
Ryan White 5.3% 4.6% 5.4% 6.1% 5.1% 5.1% 6.5% 7.1% 6.1% 9.0% 8.3% 8.6% 7.9% 6.6% 6.2% 2.1%
Weston Barlow 5.3% 9.4% 7.2% 6.4% 6.9% 6.6% 8.5% 7.3% 7.4% 7.8% 6.7% 7.3% 4.8% 4.5% 2.9% 1.0%
Bernie Roesler 11.3% 10.1% 11.1% 11.7% 9.9% 8.3% 7.1% 7.2% 7.8% 4.2% 4.9% 3.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2%
Stephen Sweriduk 2.4% 2.4% 3.1% 4.1% 4.1% 5.2% 4.7% 6.9% 5.7% 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 8.9% 10.1% 12.3% 10.1%
Christopher Poole 6.1% 6.3% 5.0% 4.9% 5.6% 5.5% 8.3% 6.1% 8.2% 7.1% 8.3% 7.4% 7.1% 7.0% 4.8% 2.3%
Philip Crain 16.0% 13.2% 13.3% 9.2% 9.9% 9.6% 7.9% 6.4% 4.0% 3.9% 3.1% 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Sean Andrew 4.0% 4.2% 4.4% 5.3% 4.9% 4.6% 6.4% 5.4% 7.7% 7.1% 7.6% 8.5% 8.2% 8.0% 7.5% 6.2%
David Pierce 3.1% 3.2% 3.8% 3.9% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 5.0% 3.6% 7.3% 8.7% 9.5% 9.4% 12.0% 11.3% 8.2%
Stephen Byrne 3.6% 2.6% 2.8% 2.9% 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 6.7% 7.0% 8.9% 11.2% 13.8% 14.5%
Christopher Edwards 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 3.0% 3.4% 4.6% 5.5% 4.1% 6.1% 7.6% 10.2% 14.9% 28.4%
Guttorm Straume 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 4.3% 3.5% 2.8% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 6.1% 7.0% 9.0% 11.3% 14.5% 21.5%
Andrew Meleny 6.3% 5.3% 6.7% 5.8% 7.9% 8.7% 7.3% 7.6% 7.3% 6.6% 7.5% 7.1% 6.3% 4.2% 3.8% 1.6%
Joseph Kelleher 9.1% 8.8% 8.1% 8.9% 9.2% 8.5% 7.9% 7.3% 7.9% 6.1% 5.8% 5.1% 3.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Daniel Perkins 12.5% 11.1% 10.0% 12.3% 8.6% 10.3% 7.7% 6.8% 6.7% 4.5% 3.8% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.