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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+8.60vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+4.57vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.42vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+5.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy2.05+3.44vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+4.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+2.39vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+1.46vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.07-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.90-0.78vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.06+1.63vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.88-2.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.97-3.27vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-3.90vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.42-5.47vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.08-5.85vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.52-2.41vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.55-11.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.6Brown University2.405.9%1st Place
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.579.5%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.9%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College1.925.2%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Military Academy2.056.3%1st Place
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10.11Cornell University1.684.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island1.775.1%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University1.895.2%1st Place
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8.51Roger Williams University2.075.7%1st Place
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9.22University of Pennsylvania1.905.8%1st Place
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12.63University of Michigan1.062.8%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston1.885.7%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy1.974.5%1st Place
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10.1Boston University1.654.9%1st Place
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9.53SUNY Maritime College0.425.5%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University2.084.2%1st Place
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14.59University of South Florida0.521.2%1st Place
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6.49Stanford University2.559.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| James Paul | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 17.2% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Gray Benson | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 40.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.