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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.55vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+3.25vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.67+3.26vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.69+6.57vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.30+4.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.96vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11-0.13vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.87+2.14vs Predicted
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10Colgate University1.10+0.75vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-4.46vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-6.23vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.49-3.46vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.74-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.25Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.26George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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10.24Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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7.87Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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11.14Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
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10.75Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.54Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.77Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 24.0% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 19.3% | 34.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 12.7% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Linor Berezin | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 22.3% | 23.2% |
| Sara Klik | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 17.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.