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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.97+8.73vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+4.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.07+5.48vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.92+5.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.40+4.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy2.05+2.54vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+2.31vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.88+1.66vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.06+2.51vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-1.18vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.68-1.78vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.42-3.55vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.52+0.64vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.89-5.43vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-9.58vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.08-6.90vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.90-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy1.974.7%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University2.5510.2%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University2.076.5%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College1.925.2%1st Place
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9.7Brown University2.404.8%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Military Academy2.056.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island1.775.5%1st Place
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9.66College of Charleston1.884.6%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.3%1st Place
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12.51University of Michigan1.063.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.655.0%1st Place
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10.22Cornell University1.684.4%1st Place
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9.45SUNY Maritime College0.425.1%1st Place
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14.64University of South Florida0.521.5%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University1.894.3%1st Place
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6.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.4%1st Place
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10.1Harvard University2.084.5%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania1.906.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| James Paul | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sherman Thompson | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
| Micky Munns | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 40.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Javier Garcon | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.