Race 8A

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Arielle DeLisser 10.6% 10.9% 11.9% 10.6% 10.7% 10.2% 8.5% 7.2% 7.9% 5.1% 3.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.5% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.4% 4.5% 4.6% 6.0% 6.7% 8.1% 13.0% 15.7% 16.1% 11.5%
Hannah McNomee 8.7% 9.2% 9.0% 7.1% 9.5% 9.0% 9.1% 10.3% 10.0% 7.6% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.7%
Mary Hall 22.0% 20.9% 16.1% 11.2% 10.2% 6.7% 5.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 3.3% 4.0% 6.1% 5.6% 6.6% 7.1% 7.0% 10.6% 10.9% 11.8% 11.2% 8.8% 4.5% 2.5%
Andrea Luna 10.2% 9.3% 11.8% 12.7% 8.3% 10.8% 9.8% 7.7% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Sara Klik 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 2.6% 4.4% 4.8% 4.4% 5.3% 9.7% 10.6% 14.4% 17.1% 18.1%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.9% 10.9% 9.5% 9.2% 10.4% 9.7% 9.2% 9.0% 7.7% 5.8% 3.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 8.5% 8.8% 7.6% 9.7% 9.9% 8.9% 11.3% 9.4% 8.5% 7.2% 5.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Catherine Shanahan 10.7% 10.3% 12.4% 10.5% 9.2% 12.1% 8.7% 9.3% 6.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.9% 6.4% 5.8% 10.1% 10.5% 8.6% 11.1% 8.7% 10.1% 8.1% 5.8% 3.5% 2.9% 0.5%
Linor Berezin 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 5.3% 6.4% 11.4% 15.8% 19.0% 25.9%
Caroline Garth 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 3.3% 4.5% 3.9% 5.8% 5.0% 8.3% 12.4% 13.2% 14.3% 13.6% 8.3%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 1.7% 4.2% 4.0% 6.6% 9.6% 12.1% 21.3% 31.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.