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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.40+7.75vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.97+5.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.77+4.35vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+0.45vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.08+3.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.07+0.70vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.42+0.80vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.92-0.32vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.75vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.88-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.06-0.63vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.68-3.81vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-5.10vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.89-6.35vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.52-2.61vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.90-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.319.0%1st Place
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9.75Brown University2.404.5%1st Place
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6.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5711.2%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Naval Academy1.974.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island1.775.5%1st Place
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6.45Stanford University2.5510.0%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University2.084.1%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University2.075.6%1st Place
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9.8SUNY Maritime College0.424.3%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College1.925.3%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Military Academy2.056.6%1st Place
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9.42College of Charleston1.885.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Michigan1.063.4%1st Place
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10.19Cornell University1.684.0%1st Place
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9.9Boston University1.655.1%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University1.894.8%1st Place
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14.39University of South Florida0.521.5%1st Place
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9.36University of Pennsylvania1.905.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Gray Benson | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| James Paul | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 40.8% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.