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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+4.11vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+2.24vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.11+3.79vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+0.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.50vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71-1.26vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67-1.89vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.30+1.12vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.69+1.62vs Predicted
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11Colgate University1.10-0.35vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.38vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.49-3.57vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.87-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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6.11Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.24Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.79Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.75Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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3.5U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.11George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.12Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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10.65Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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11.0Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle DeLisser | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 23.4% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 12.9% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 35.1% |
| Sara Klik | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Garth | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 7.1% |
| Linor Berezin | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 16.8% | 20.5% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.