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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+4.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+3.79vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+3.29vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.41vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67+1.21vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97-0.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.72vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.30+1.96vs Predicted
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9Colgate University1.10+1.61vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.87+1.19vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.11-3.11vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.35vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.69-1.59vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.49-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.79Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.29Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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6.21George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.37Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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3.28U. S. Naval Academy3.740.3%1st Place
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9.96Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.61Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.19Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
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7.89Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mary Hall | 26.3% | 20.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.3% |
| Sara Klik | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 16.8% |
| Linor Berezin | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 27.4% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 31.8% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.