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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.68+9.23vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.92+7.37vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.40+6.54vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.88+5.32vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.07+3.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.97+3.71vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.42+2.67vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+1.77vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.90+0.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.43vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-4.31vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.60vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.06-0.51vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.33vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.77-5.76vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.08-5.93vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.52-2.39vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.65-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23Cornell University1.684.3%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College1.925.9%1st Place
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9.54Brown University2.405.5%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston1.885.8%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.076.3%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy1.975.2%1st Place
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9.67SUNY Maritime College0.424.5%1st Place
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9.77Fordham University1.894.9%1st Place
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9.24University of Pennsylvania1.904.9%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Military Academy2.055.9%1st Place
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6.69Stanford University2.5510.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.5%1st Place
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12.49University of Michigan1.062.4%1st Place
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6.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.9%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island1.775.1%1st Place
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10.07Harvard University2.084.7%1st Place
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14.61University of South Florida0.521.2%1st Place
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10.01Boston University1.653.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Gray Benson | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| James Paul | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 14.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 13.9% | 40.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.