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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.92+8.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy2.05+6.56vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.43vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.88+5.43vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.77+4.33vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.54vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.40+2.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.97+1.82vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.07-0.62vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-3.52vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.90-1.66vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.42-2.21vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.89-3.39vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.65-4.07vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.68-4.88vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.08-5.92vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.52-2.32vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.06-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46Connecticut College1.924.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Military Academy2.056.2%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.9%1st Place
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9.43College of Charleston1.885.3%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island1.775.6%1st Place
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6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.6%1st Place
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9.69Brown University2.404.8%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy1.974.9%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University2.077.5%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University2.5510.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Pennsylvania1.905.2%1st Place
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9.79SUNY Maritime College0.424.2%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University1.895.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston University1.654.7%1st Place
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10.12Cornell University1.685.0%1st Place
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10.08Harvard University2.083.6%1st Place
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14.68University of South Florida0.521.8%1st Place
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12.32University of Michigan1.062.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| James Paul | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Gray Benson | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 41.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.