Race 11A

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mary Hall 24.9% 19.5% 15.0% 13.5% 7.8% 7.2% 5.2% 3.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 11.0% 12.4% 10.6% 10.9% 11.4% 9.7% 11.5% 7.6% 5.5% 3.4% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 5.0% 5.1% 6.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 9.4% 10.6% 12.1% 11.1% 8.5% 3.8% 2.1%
Hannah McNomee 6.9% 9.5% 9.3% 8.6% 10.3% 8.9% 9.1% 11.4% 9.6% 7.0% 4.7% 2.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.3% 0.5% 1.6% 1.2% 2.2% 1.9% 2.9% 3.7% 4.9% 6.1% 8.3% 12.4% 19.8% 33.2%
Andrea Luna 10.2% 10.5% 11.4% 11.9% 11.7% 10.4% 8.3% 7.8% 6.2% 6.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 9.3% 9.5% 9.5% 10.8% 11.7% 10.9% 7.2% 8.8% 9.4% 6.1% 3.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.3%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 8.2% 9.5% 8.6% 9.3% 9.7% 8.8% 8.1% 6.3% 3.5% 2.0% 0.4%
Sara Klik 2.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 4.0% 4.6% 9.0% 13.2% 15.8% 19.2% 17.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.3% 8.7% 9.9% 11.5% 10.5% 10.0% 11.6% 7.6% 8.0% 5.7% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Caroline Garth 2.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.9% 2.6% 6.7% 6.2% 6.7% 6.8% 9.9% 12.7% 15.6% 14.6% 7.8%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 2.9% 3.5% 2.8% 5.9% 4.8% 7.6% 10.8% 13.1% 14.3% 14.9% 13.7%
Linor Berezin 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 3.1% 2.6% 3.5% 5.7% 7.0% 10.1% 15.0% 19.7% 24.4%
Marissa Golison 6.4% 7.5% 9.4% 8.2% 7.6% 10.0% 9.5% 11.5% 10.2% 7.7% 6.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.