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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.92+8.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.97+6.99vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+3.24vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.90+4.76vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.01vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.08+3.56vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55-0.81vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.40+1.21vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.42+0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.77-1.34vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.65-1.63vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.06-0.36vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy2.05-5.11vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.89-5.10vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.68-5.42vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.88-7.00vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.52-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Connecticut College1.924.9%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Naval Academy1.976.5%1st Place
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6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.6%1st Place
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8.76University of Pennsylvania1.906.3%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.5%1st Place
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9.56Harvard University2.084.8%1st Place
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6.19Stanford University2.5510.4%1st Place
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9.21Brown University2.405.1%1st Place
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9.08SUNY Maritime College0.424.2%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island1.776.5%1st Place
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9.37Boston University1.655.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Michigan1.063.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Military Academy2.057.6%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University1.896.3%1st Place
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9.58Cornell University1.684.0%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston1.884.9%1st Place
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13.83University of South Florida0.521.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CJ Mckenna | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
Gray Benson | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
Owen Hennessey | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Javier Garcon | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
Sam Bruce | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
Emma Kaneti | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
Wiley Rogers | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Jack Murphy | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
Parker Colantuono | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
Micky Munns | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
Sherman Thompson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.4% |
James Paul | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
Kenneth Corsig | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
J.J. Smith | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
Axel Stordahl | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
Heidi Hicks | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.