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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
CJ Mckenna 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.9% 4.5% 6.0% 6.3% 5.8% 6.8% 5.2% 6.6% 6.9% 7.1% 6.5% 6.5% 5.6% 3.9%
Gray Benson 6.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 5.4% 5.2% 6.3% 5.2% 6.1% 6.7% 6.1% 6.1% 7.1% 5.8% 6.4% 4.0%
Owen Hennessey 10.6% 9.9% 10.2% 10.2% 8.3% 8.0% 7.1% 6.3% 6.8% 6.4% 4.5% 3.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Javier Garcon 6.3% 5.6% 5.3% 6.8% 6.3% 6.2% 4.7% 6.1% 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 6.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.5% 2.5%
Sam Bruce 8.5% 8.3% 8.6% 8.6% 7.3% 8.6% 7.2% 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 6.0% 5.6% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.6%
Emma Kaneti 4.8% 4.2% 5.6% 4.7% 5.2% 5.7% 5.0% 6.2% 6.1% 6.6% 5.4% 7.0% 7.2% 7.0% 7.8% 6.8% 4.7%
Wiley Rogers 10.4% 10.4% 10.5% 9.8% 9.2% 7.2% 7.8% 6.5% 5.9% 6.0% 4.3% 3.3% 2.8% 3.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Jack Murphy 5.1% 6.0% 4.6% 4.9% 6.2% 5.9% 6.5% 6.1% 5.9% 4.9% 6.1% 6.8% 6.3% 7.4% 6.2% 7.3% 3.8%
Nick Chisari 4.2% 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 6.0% 5.7% 6.7% 6.0% 6.6% 7.0% 6.2% 7.0% 6.2% 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 2.8%
Parker Colantuono 6.5% 5.9% 5.5% 6.3% 5.1% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 6.3% 7.1% 5.9% 5.5% 6.8% 5.8% 6.2% 4.6% 2.9%
Micky Munns 5.1% 5.1% 5.5% 4.6% 5.8% 5.2% 5.4% 6.7% 5.5% 5.5% 6.7% 7.3% 6.5% 8.1% 6.4% 6.5% 4.3%
Sherman Thompson 3.1% 3.4% 2.3% 3.1% 3.4% 3.2% 4.2% 3.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.5% 6.4% 6.5% 6.9% 9.9% 14.2% 15.4%
James Paul 7.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.2% 7.8% 6.7% 6.6% 6.7% 6.2% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0% 5.5% 5.3% 4.3% 2.7% 1.9%
Kenneth Corsig 6.3% 5.7% 5.7% 5.1% 5.3% 6.0% 6.9% 6.0% 5.8% 6.7% 6.2% 6.8% 6.4% 5.9% 6.2% 5.9% 3.2%
J.J. Smith 4.0% 4.9% 5.0% 4.8% 5.8% 6.3% 6.0% 5.1% 6.1% 5.3% 6.6% 5.8% 7.3% 7.3% 7.6% 7.2% 4.9%
Axel Stordahl 4.9% 5.2% 5.0% 6.2% 6.0% 6.3% 5.9% 7.0% 6.9% 6.8% 6.3% 4.8% 7.3% 6.2% 6.5% 5.3% 3.5%
Heidi Hicks 1.2% 1.1% 2.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 2.9% 2.2% 3.3% 4.2% 4.0% 4.4% 6.0% 8.2% 12.5% 41.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.