Race 12A

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Arielle DeLisser 9.2% 13.4% 11.9% 11.3% 10.9% 8.7% 10.0% 7.1% 6.2% 5.0% 3.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Mary Hall 26.7% 18.6% 18.0% 11.0% 9.3% 6.9% 3.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 11.0% 12.1% 12.0% 9.5% 11.2% 10.5% 8.8% 8.5% 7.2% 4.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Marissa Golison 6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.1% 11.3% 10.3% 8.7% 9.6% 8.0% 6.7% 5.5% 1.8% 0.7%
Mary Kate Mezzetti 7.6% 8.8% 8.7% 11.2% 9.1% 11.9% 9.0% 7.7% 9.5% 6.9% 4.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Sara Klik 1.2% 2.4% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 3.4% 3.3% 4.3% 5.6% 9.2% 12.3% 14.4% 18.9% 18.6%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 3.7% 4.4% 5.5% 3.9% 6.2% 6.6% 9.7% 11.5% 15.7% 15.3% 10.6%
Hannah McNomee 8.7% 8.6% 10.5% 8.5% 9.5% 7.9% 10.6% 9.2% 7.8% 7.7% 6.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.1% 10.5% 8.8% 10.5% 12.5% 9.2% 10.0% 9.4% 6.9% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.4% 0.7% 1.3% 2.1% 0.9% 1.4% 2.8% 2.4% 4.6% 7.0% 9.6% 12.5% 19.3% 34.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 8.2% 7.7% 7.0% 9.2% 9.3% 9.3% 9.0% 11.5% 9.6% 6.9% 6.2% 3.6% 2.3% 0.2%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.1% 4.5% 4.3% 7.7% 6.5% 7.2% 9.4% 10.1% 11.2% 9.9% 9.2% 8.5% 4.9% 2.5%
Caroline Garth 2.9% 2.5% 3.9% 2.4% 3.9% 4.6% 5.8% 7.7% 6.8% 12.0% 13.2% 13.5% 13.0% 7.8%
Linor Berezin 1.2% 1.0% 2.1% 2.2% 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 4.5% 6.5% 7.2% 9.9% 14.9% 18.8% 24.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.