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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.74+4.86vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+3.14vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+2.36vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.54vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+0.41vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.67-1.12vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.69+2.52vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.30+0.17vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.11-3.17vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.87-0.87vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.49-3.54vs Predicted
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14Colgate University1.10-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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3.46U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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6.41Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.88George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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10.17Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.83Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.13Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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10.47Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Mary Hall | 21.7% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 22.0% | 31.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 12.2% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Linor Berezin | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 26.5% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Sara Klik | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.