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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.97+8.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.18vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.42+6.04vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.90+4.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.40+4.07vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.65+3.37vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.92+2.08vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.08+1.55vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.88-0.10vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-3.75vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.68-1.48vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89-2.91vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.06-1.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy2.05-6.16vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.52-1.27vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.77-7.38vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-10.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19U. S. Naval Academy1.975.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.5%1st Place
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9.04SUNY Maritime College0.426.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Pennsylvania1.905.9%1st Place
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9.07Brown University2.404.2%1st Place
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9.37Boston University1.654.8%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College1.925.1%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University2.085.1%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston1.885.9%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University2.5510.9%1st Place
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9.52Cornell University1.683.6%1st Place
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9.09Fordham University1.895.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Michigan1.063.1%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Military Academy2.057.7%1st Place
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13.73University of South Florida0.521.9%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island1.776.3%1st Place
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5711.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 15.8% |
| James Paul | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 40.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.