Race 1A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Perham Black 7.6% 7.4% 7.6% 8.6% 7.8% 8.6% 9.6% 8.6% 7.3% 6.8% 6.6% 6.1% 4.9% 2.5%
Jonas Nelle 6.9% 8.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.0% 7.1% 7.0% 8.6% 8.2% 7.8% 7.3% 5.8% 5.9% 3.6%
Nathan Olmsted 10.4% 10.3% 10.8% 9.8% 8.8% 10.1% 8.2% 6.8% 6.8% 6.5% 5.1% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9%
Aidan Hoogland 18.4% 16.6% 13.8% 11.8% 11.2% 8.1% 7.8% 4.0% 3.8% 2.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.9% 6.4% 6.3% 7.0% 6.7% 7.6% 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.0% 7.2% 8.0% 5.5%
Luke Quine 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 4.0% 4.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.1% 6.9% 9.9% 10.4% 13.0% 19.3%
Gregory Walters 3.9% 3.6% 4.0% 5.2% 5.0% 4.8% 6.3% 6.5% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 11.5% 11.3% 16.3%
Christine Reimer 3.6% 4.0% 5.0% 3.8% 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 6.7% 9.5% 9.2% 10.8% 12.2% 15.0%
Graham Ness 9.3% 9.4% 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 8.9% 7.4% 7.6% 6.2% 7.6% 6.5% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6%
Connor Sheridan 6.7% 6.2% 6.5% 6.4% 7.3% 8.5% 8.6% 9.4% 8.9% 7.8% 6.6% 7.1% 6.0% 4.0%
Joshua Bartoszuk 11.1% 10.9% 10.0% 9.2% 9.8% 9.0% 7.4% 8.2% 7.4% 6.2% 4.5% 2.8% 2.4% 0.9%
Jacob Macdonald 5.0% 4.9% 5.8% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 7.3% 6.2% 8.3% 8.3% 9.1% 8.9% 10.0% 7.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.5% 4.5% 4.7% 5.4% 6.9% 5.2% 6.9% 8.4% 6.8% 8.6% 8.5% 10.2% 9.8% 9.6%
Mott Blair 3.9% 3.9% 5.3% 5.1% 4.5% 6.6% 6.2% 6.7% 8.1% 6.2% 9.3% 10.8% 10.7% 12.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.