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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.39vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+3.06vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.61vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.40vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+0.72vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.11+1.92vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.74-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.69+3.39vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61-2.63vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.49-0.37vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-4.80vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.30-1.88vs Predicted
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13Colgate University1.10-2.49vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.87-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39U. S. Naval Academy3.740.3%1st Place
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5.06Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.72Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.92Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Rochester0.690.0%1st Place
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6.37Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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6.2George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.12Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.51Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.0Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 25.5% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.2% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Sookiasian | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 33.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 8.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% |
| Sara Klik | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 17.4% |
| Linor Berezin | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.