Race 2A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Olmsted 10.8% 11.1% 9.4% 11.3% 10.8% 9.6% 7.8% 8.2% 6.9% 5.7% 4.5% 2.9% 1.1%
Jonas Nelle 7.9% 7.4% 8.5% 8.2% 8.0% 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 8.8% 7.8% 7.2% 7.0% 3.8%
Perham Black 8.5% 8.6% 8.3% 9.2% 9.2% 8.8% 8.9% 8.3% 8.3% 6.5% 7.5% 5.3% 2.6%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.6% 6.5% 6.7% 6.3% 6.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.3% 8.6% 9.5% 10.0% 8.8% 7.0%
Graham Ness 8.4% 8.8% 10.0% 9.1% 10.2% 8.7% 9.2% 8.9% 8.5% 6.5% 4.8% 4.7% 2.5%
Luke Quine 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.5% 7.2% 9.0% 10.4% 13.8% 23.2%
Connor Sheridan 6.4% 7.4% 7.8% 7.4% 8.5% 7.5% 9.1% 8.2% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 7.2% 4.7%
Aidan Hoogland 20.2% 16.0% 14.0% 11.3% 10.2% 7.9% 6.2% 5.8% 3.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Jacob Macdonald 5.3% 5.7% 5.8% 7.0% 6.6% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 7.4% 8.3% 10.3% 9.1% 10.8%
Gregory Walters 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.6% 6.3% 8.5% 9.2% 10.9% 13.7% 16.8%
Joshua Bartoszuk 9.2% 11.2% 11.2% 10.2% 9.7% 9.4% 8.4% 7.8% 7.0% 6.9% 4.7% 3.0% 1.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.5% 6.0% 5.9% 5.1% 5.5% 8.4% 8.0% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2% 11.2% 10.7%
Mott Blair 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.8% 4.9% 5.6% 6.6% 6.8% 8.2% 10.7% 10.5% 12.7% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.