Race 1B

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katia DaSilva 21.6% 21.2% 15.6% 10.7% 11.0% 7.1% 5.2% 4.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Brooke Lyon 7.7% 9.6% 9.6% 9.9% 8.4% 10.9% 12.3% 9.1% 8.7% 6.8% 3.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.3%
Carolyn Smith 15.5% 13.0% 13.5% 12.1% 11.5% 11.1% 8.7% 6.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 10.9% 13.3% 11.4% 12.1% 11.3% 11.1% 11.8% 6.3% 6.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Johanna Monro 3.0% 3.4% 5.3% 4.5% 6.3% 7.4% 7.2% 10.3% 10.0% 15.3% 11.5% 9.8% 4.9% 1.1%
Corina Radtke 11.4% 10.3% 12.1% 13.6% 11.0% 10.4% 9.3% 8.2% 5.7% 4.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 4.1% 4.6% 5.7% 5.1% 5.4% 7.4% 7.6% 9.9% 12.0% 11.7% 13.7% 7.6% 4.8% 0.4%
Veronica Maccari 7.0% 8.1% 7.3% 7.4% 9.3% 9.3% 9.9% 10.5% 9.9% 9.1% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Kathryn Luly 2.6% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 3.3% 2.9% 4.1% 4.8% 8.1% 11.1% 18.8% 18.5% 15.2% 5.1%
Laura Maranto 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 2.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 3.4% 5.1% 7.2% 11.0% 19.1% 27.6% 17.4%
Maria Sinagra 8.4% 7.0% 8.2% 11.4% 11.0% 9.8% 9.2% 11.6% 8.8% 7.5% 4.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Joy MacDonald 0.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 5.0% 6.2% 12.1% 19.8% 25.2% 18.1%
Meaghan Harding 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 2.5% 2.2% 4.8% 10.2% 17.5% 57.1%
Lindsey Ludwig 5.4% 5.4% 6.7% 6.7% 8.8% 8.2% 10.2% 11.0% 11.2% 11.6% 8.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.