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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Hoogland 21.0% 16.2% 15.3% 12.2% 10.8% 8.0% 5.7% 3.9% 3.1% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.2% 5.0% 4.7% 5.9% 5.5% 6.9% 8.5% 7.7% 9.0% 9.9% 10.9% 10.3% 11.6%
Connor Sheridan 7.6% 8.0% 7.4% 7.8% 8.1% 9.2% 8.2% 8.4% 7.5% 8.6% 7.1% 7.1% 4.9%
Graham Ness 9.6% 8.6% 9.6% 8.9% 8.6% 8.4% 8.3% 9.8% 7.5% 8.4% 5.5% 4.9% 1.8%
Luke Quine 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 3.8% 4.6% 4.2% 6.2% 7.6% 7.1% 9.8% 10.6% 14.1% 22.8%
Perham Black 8.3% 8.2% 7.5% 8.0% 9.2% 8.9% 8.4% 8.9% 8.3% 7.8% 6.8% 5.7% 4.0%
Jonas Nelle 7.0% 8.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.1% 8.6% 8.7% 7.8% 9.0% 8.2% 7.0% 6.4% 3.3%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.7% 6.5% 6.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 8.9% 7.9% 9.4% 7.9% 9.0% 9.2% 6.6%
Nathan Olmsted 10.3% 11.7% 11.2% 10.6% 9.8% 10.2% 8.1% 7.8% 7.8% 4.8% 3.9% 2.6% 1.5%
Gregory Walters 3.6% 4.3% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 6.0% 6.3% 7.5% 8.9% 9.0% 11.8% 12.0% 17.0%
Jacob Macdonald 5.0% 5.2% 6.3% 6.8% 6.9% 6.9% 7.4% 7.5% 7.9% 8.7% 10.2% 11.1% 10.2%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.2% 11.1% 10.8% 10.6% 9.5% 9.2% 9.0% 8.3% 6.7% 5.9% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2%
Mott Blair 4.8% 3.9% 4.9% 4.5% 6.2% 6.4% 6.2% 6.9% 7.7% 8.9% 11.2% 13.4% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.