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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+2.90vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+6.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.50+3.79vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.61+2.16vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.54+4.30vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.58+0.56vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.77-0.40vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.17-0.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84-3.52vs Predicted
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10The Citadel1.22-1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.03-3.15vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.81-6.40vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.30-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Roger Williams University2.4521.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University0.974.2%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University1.507.6%1st Place
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6.16Boston College1.619.6%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont0.542.7%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College1.588.3%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University1.777.0%1st Place
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7.35Northeastern University1.175.7%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.8410.3%1st Place
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8.73The Citadel1.223.6%1st Place
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7.85University of Wisconsin1.035.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island1.8110.2%1st Place
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8.53Maine Maritime Academy0.304.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Aidan Hoogland | 21.0% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% |
Connor Sheridan | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
Graham Ness | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
Luke Quine | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 22.8% |
Perham Black | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
Jonas Nelle | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
Ted Bjerregaard | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
Nathan Olmsted | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
Gregory Walters | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 17.0% |
Jacob Macdonald | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
Joshua Bartoszuk | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
Mott Blair | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.