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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.04+6.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.77vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.69+5.11vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.28+2.64vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.46-1.33vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.72+2.20vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.69vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-3.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.99+0.99vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.86vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-5.09vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.40-0.72vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.38-1.81vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania-0.56-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Cornell University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.77U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.11Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.64Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.67Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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8.2Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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4.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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4.92Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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6.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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5.91George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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11.28Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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11.19Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Pennsylvania-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Ludwig | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 19.4% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 13.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 5.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 19.5% | 25.0% | 17.6% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 25.3% | 17.5% |
| Meaghan Harding | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.