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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.43vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.38+9.11vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46+0.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.96vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.87+0.06vs Predicted
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6Colgate University1.69+2.31vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.28-0.75vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51-2.13vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40+2.31vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72-1.82vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.04-3.75vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.99-2.00vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-7.03vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania-0.56-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.11Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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3.51Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.06Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.31Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.25Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.87George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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11.31Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.25Cornell University2.040.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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5.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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12.8University of Pennsylvania-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 14.6% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 25.7% | 16.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 23.2% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 10.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Veronica Maccari | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 28.4% | 16.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 6.7% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Meaghan Harding | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.