Race 4A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Sheridan 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.2% 8.2% 8.6% 8.0% 7.3% 10.1% 9.6% 8.2% 7.0% 5.2%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.5% 10.5% 10.8% 10.3% 10.6% 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 6.6% 6.0% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
Jonas Nelle 8.0% 8.3% 9.4% 8.6% 7.9% 8.0% 8.9% 9.2% 7.9% 8.1% 7.6% 4.8% 3.4%
Jacob Macdonald 4.7% 5.7% 5.8% 6.8% 6.7% 7.5% 8.0% 8.1% 9.2% 9.7% 8.3% 10.2% 9.2%
Graham Ness 8.5% 9.8% 8.5% 9.1% 9.6% 8.4% 8.5% 8.8% 7.6% 8.3% 5.8% 4.9% 2.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.4% 5.3% 5.3% 6.7% 6.3% 7.5% 8.1% 7.8% 8.3% 7.1% 10.7% 10.8% 10.8%
Nathan Olmsted 11.1% 10.1% 9.5% 9.1% 10.2% 9.3% 10.1% 8.5% 6.8% 6.3% 4.9% 2.9% 1.3%
Aidan Hoogland 19.6% 16.5% 14.5% 12.2% 9.8% 7.8% 5.9% 4.7% 4.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.7% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 7.8% 7.4% 8.0% 8.5% 8.7% 8.7% 8.6% 7.8%
Perham Black 8.8% 8.1% 8.9% 8.6% 7.6% 9.2% 8.5% 8.6% 8.0% 7.5% 6.5% 5.5% 4.2%
Luke Quine 4.2% 3.1% 3.2% 4.2% 4.4% 4.9% 5.7% 5.6% 8.2% 8.0% 11.6% 16.7% 20.3%
Gregory Walters 4.0% 5.1% 4.3% 4.3% 4.9% 5.8% 6.0% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 10.9% 12.7% 18.8%
Mott Blair 3.5% 4.0% 5.2% 5.3% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 8.1% 6.3% 9.8% 11.0% 12.8% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.