Race 5A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Olmsted 10.3% 11.4% 10.9% 10.8% 9.1% 8.9% 8.5% 8.9% 6.8% 6.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.2%
Joshua Bartoszuk 11.3% 10.1% 10.9% 9.8% 9.2% 8.9% 9.7% 7.5% 7.0% 5.6% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3%
Jonas Nelle 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 8.9% 9.1% 8.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.1% 7.8% 7.3% 5.5% 3.6%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.3% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 6.0% 7.2% 6.9% 7.8% 8.2% 9.3% 10.2% 11.8% 11.2%
Aidan Hoogland 17.9% 16.7% 14.6% 13.1% 9.9% 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Graham Ness 9.6% 8.3% 9.4% 8.2% 10.0% 8.9% 8.2% 8.5% 7.9% 7.1% 6.8% 4.7% 2.5%
Connor Sheridan 6.2% 8.4% 6.6% 8.3% 7.6% 9.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.6% 8.5% 7.6% 6.9% 5.2%
Jacob Macdonald 5.9% 5.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 8.3% 7.0% 7.6% 8.0% 9.7% 9.5% 10.1% 8.6%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.4% 6.3% 6.7% 7.0% 8.5% 6.7% 8.0% 8.3% 8.6% 9.4% 8.8% 7.7% 7.5%
Luke Quine 3.6% 3.4% 3.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.5% 5.7% 5.9% 6.7% 8.0% 10.2% 14.4% 24.9%
Perham Black 8.6% 7.8% 8.6% 7.6% 9.1% 8.8% 9.8% 8.6% 8.9% 7.8% 6.6% 5.5% 2.2%
Gregory Walters 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 5.4% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 11.6% 14.2% 16.4%
Mott Blair 4.2% 4.3% 3.3% 4.8% 5.5% 6.1% 6.8% 7.5% 9.3% 10.0% 10.7% 12.4% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.