Race 4B

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katia DaSilva 23.5% 17.9% 17.5% 11.2% 9.2% 8.2% 5.5% 3.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 6.2% 8.2% 8.1% 10.4% 7.6% 8.8% 11.9% 10.6% 9.3% 10.1% 4.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Lindsey Ludwig 5.8% 5.3% 6.8% 6.3% 7.9% 7.3% 9.3% 11.3% 9.6% 12.4% 10.6% 5.5% 1.2% 0.7%
Carolyn Smith 13.2% 15.2% 12.9% 13.0% 11.9% 10.4% 7.8% 6.4% 5.1% 1.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 10.0% 12.8% 12.4% 11.4% 11.9% 10.7% 9.2% 8.1% 6.4% 4.0% 1.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 12.4% 10.0% 11.5% 13.2% 12.0% 10.3% 9.6% 7.4% 6.1% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Brooke Lyon 9.4% 9.1% 8.4% 10.2% 9.3% 11.2% 11.0% 9.7% 8.8% 6.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 4.2% 4.1% 4.4% 5.7% 6.0% 6.4% 7.5% 8.5% 11.3% 11.8% 13.6% 9.4% 5.9% 1.2%
Johanna Monro 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% 4.4% 5.3% 6.9% 8.8% 10.5% 12.7% 12.3% 14.0% 9.4% 3.1% 1.4%
Kathryn Luly 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 4.5% 4.6% 5.2% 8.6% 11.1% 16.2% 19.5% 14.2% 6.6%
Laura Maranto 0.6% 1.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 7.4% 11.7% 18.1% 27.6% 17.3%
Maria Sinagra 7.8% 7.6% 9.8% 10.1% 11.7% 11.4% 9.0% 10.5% 8.0% 6.9% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Meaghan Harding 0.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.4% 5.0% 8.5% 18.6% 57.0%
Joy MacDonald 0.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.2% 2.3% 1.6% 1.8% 3.9% 5.7% 8.7% 10.0% 19.1% 26.9% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.