Race 5B

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katia DaSilva 23.9% 21.2% 15.0% 11.8% 10.0% 7.0% 5.5% 2.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 17.2% 14.6% 15.5% 12.1% 12.7% 10.5% 7.3% 4.6% 2.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Brooke Lyon 7.8% 9.6% 10.5% 10.0% 10.0% 11.4% 10.8% 8.6% 8.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 11.4% 14.3% 13.2% 12.7% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 4.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 4.1% 4.7% 7.9% 6.5% 8.3% 8.7% 11.4% 11.7% 8.9% 11.5% 7.8% 6.0% 1.7% 0.8%
Alex Hitchcock 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 3.2% 4.6% 4.9% 6.4% 9.7% 9.9% 12.4% 12.9% 14.0% 11.2% 3.5%
Johanna Monro 4.5% 5.2% 6.1% 6.1% 6.4% 8.6% 9.6% 9.8% 11.3% 11.5% 10.5% 6.7% 2.6% 1.1%
Corina Radtke 14.0% 12.6% 12.5% 13.4% 11.1% 9.8% 8.3% 7.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 4.3% 3.7% 3.7% 7.5% 5.8% 6.4% 8.2% 11.7% 14.0% 12.3% 9.9% 7.1% 3.7% 1.7%
Veronica Maccari 6.2% 6.8% 7.7% 9.9% 12.0% 9.9% 8.8% 12.4% 10.6% 7.0% 5.2% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Kathryn Luly 2.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.8% 2.0% 5.3% 7.2% 5.8% 9.2% 11.7% 15.8% 14.8% 13.3% 6.1%
Joy MacDonald 0.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 5.8% 7.2% 13.6% 18.0% 24.2% 15.9%
Laura Maranto 1.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 3.3% 3.7% 6.0% 8.5% 10.3% 18.4% 23.5% 16.1%
Meaghan Harding 0.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 6.0% 9.7% 17.9% 54.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.