Race 6A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Olmsted 11.9% 11.8% 10.7% 9.8% 9.2% 9.6% 9.1% 7.2% 7.3% 5.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.8%
Jonas Nelle 7.3% 7.1% 7.6% 8.8% 8.8% 7.0% 8.5% 10.0% 9.3% 8.3% 7.3% 6.1% 3.9%
Aidan Hoogland 20.6% 14.5% 14.5% 11.9% 11.6% 9.4% 6.1% 4.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Jacob Macdonald 5.0% 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.9% 9.2% 8.9% 9.0% 10.7% 10.7% 8.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.7% 6.4% 7.5% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 10.8% 10.1% 11.7%
Graham Ness 8.1% 9.3% 9.3% 10.4% 7.6% 9.1% 8.9% 8.1% 8.6% 7.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.4%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.2% 11.8% 10.2% 10.0% 10.2% 8.8% 9.1% 7.8% 6.5% 5.9% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2%
Connor Sheridan 6.5% 8.6% 7.4% 7.1% 8.5% 7.6% 9.1% 8.3% 8.2% 8.2% 7.8% 8.7% 3.9%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 6.7% 7.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.2% 8.6% 8.8% 8.4% 8.9% 6.7%
Luke Quine 2.8% 3.1% 3.4% 4.3% 5.5% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 6.9% 9.0% 10.1% 14.0% 22.4%
Perham Black 8.6% 8.6% 9.0% 8.6% 7.9% 9.7% 8.4% 8.5% 7.5% 7.6% 7.5% 4.8% 3.2%
Mott Blair 3.9% 4.5% 4.6% 5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 5.3% 7.0% 8.5% 9.4% 9.7% 12.5% 17.6%
Gregory Walters 3.2% 4.0% 4.8% 4.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 6.6% 7.2% 9.7% 11.7% 13.8% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.