Race 7A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonas Nelle 8.2% 9.7% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6% 7.4% 8.3% 8.5% 7.4% 8.3% 5.7% 4.2%
Connor Sheridan 7.2% 7.6% 7.3% 8.6% 8.0% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 9.2% 8.8% 7.0% 5.6% 4.7%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.8% 11.0% 10.6% 9.6% 9.3% 9.8% 9.7% 8.0% 7.6% 5.5% 3.9% 2.9% 1.6%
Aidan Hoogland 19.1% 15.2% 14.5% 13.0% 11.1% 9.0% 5.9% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Nathan Olmsted 9.8% 11.1% 10.9% 10.3% 10.8% 9.2% 9.6% 7.7% 6.6% 6.0% 4.2% 2.9% 0.9%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.5% 4.4% 5.8% 5.2% 6.0% 7.2% 8.5% 8.4% 8.6% 9.0% 10.8% 10.8% 9.8%
Jacob Macdonald 4.8% 5.0% 5.5% 6.9% 6.8% 6.2% 8.3% 8.1% 8.6% 9.9% 10.0% 11.2% 8.9%
Gregory Walters 3.6% 3.7% 4.0% 5.1% 4.7% 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 8.2% 9.2% 11.2% 14.0% 17.2%
Luke Quine 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% 5.6% 5.3% 5.9% 5.1% 9.7% 11.2% 15.6% 21.9%
Perham Black 7.5% 8.5% 8.9% 9.0% 9.3% 8.3% 8.0% 9.6% 8.6% 6.9% 6.1% 5.1% 4.0%
Graham Ness 9.2% 9.2% 9.1% 8.4% 8.8% 8.5% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 7.5% 6.4% 4.7% 2.9%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.8% 5.7% 7.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.1% 8.2% 7.5% 8.8% 9.1% 9.8% 7.8% 7.0%
Mott Blair 3.8% 5.1% 4.7% 5.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.2% 7.5% 8.1% 9.2% 10.0% 13.1% 16.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.