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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+2.34vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+3.58vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.28+3.24vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.72+3.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.23vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.04+1.02vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87-2.51vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.40+2.95vs Predicted
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9Colgate University1.69-1.07vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.24-0.83vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.66vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.99-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania-0.56-0.35vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.38-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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5.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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6.24Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.78Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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4.77U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.02Cornell University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.49Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.95Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.93Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.17George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Pennsylvania-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.01Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 25.2% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Veronica Maccari | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 24.0% | 17.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 14.7% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Meaghan Harding | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 56.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 27.4% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.