Race 8A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonas Nelle 7.1% 8.6% 7.4% 7.9% 10.0% 8.8% 8.1% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 7.5% 6.5% 3.9%
Aidan Hoogland 19.5% 16.0% 14.0% 12.6% 10.0% 8.3% 6.9% 5.2% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Luke Quine 3.4% 3.9% 4.5% 3.6% 4.9% 5.1% 6.0% 5.7% 7.1% 8.4% 10.2% 14.6% 22.5%
Connor Sheridan 6.3% 6.5% 8.3% 8.2% 7.5% 7.8% 9.2% 9.4% 8.9% 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 5.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 5.2% 6.8% 6.6% 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 10.4%
Nathan Olmsted 11.3% 11.2% 10.6% 10.2% 9.7% 9.0% 8.3% 8.2% 7.0% 5.8% 4.5% 3.1% 1.1%
Perham Black 8.1% 7.7% 8.2% 8.3% 8.7% 9.3% 8.6% 9.0% 8.6% 7.1% 8.0% 5.0% 3.2%
Graham Ness 10.0% 9.8% 8.5% 9.6% 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 8.8% 6.8% 7.8% 5.0% 4.4% 2.7%
Gregory Walters 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 4.2% 5.0% 7.1% 6.1% 5.9% 8.1% 9.0% 11.6% 12.8% 17.0%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.7% 10.8% 10.1% 11.4% 9.2% 8.8% 8.3% 7.8% 7.8% 6.0% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3%
Jacob Macdonald 4.8% 5.3% 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 6.4% 8.1% 8.6% 9.8% 9.3% 9.4% 10.2% 9.6%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.8% 5.9% 7.1% 7.3% 7.1% 7.6% 7.5% 9.0% 8.9% 8.6% 9.2% 8.9% 6.9%
Mott Blair 4.0% 4.2% 5.4% 5.1% 5.2% 5.9% 6.2% 5.9% 8.1% 10.1% 10.4% 13.4% 16.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.