← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.46+2.34vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.24+6.90vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University2.28+3.18vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.72+3.84vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.87-0.23vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.04+1.00vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.48vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.36vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.70vs Predicted
-
10University of Rochester0.99-0.18vs Predicted
-
11Colgate University1.69-3.10vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University0.40-0.90vs Predicted
-
13Queen's University0.38-1.98vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania-0.56-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.34Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
-
8.9George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
-
6.18Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
-
7.84Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
4.77Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.0Cornell University2.040.1%1st Place
-
5.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
-
4.64U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
4.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.82University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
-
7.9Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.1Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
-
11.02Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
-
12.66University of Pennsylvania-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 24.7% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Veronica Maccari | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 14.6% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 6.8% |
| Emily Bicks | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 24.3% | 16.2% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 25.2% | 16.4% |
| Meaghan Harding | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.