Race 9A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Olmsted 11.6% 11.8% 11.4% 10.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.0% 7.0% 6.5% 5.2% 4.1% 2.9% 1.5%
Perham Black 7.5% 8.0% 8.2% 7.6% 10.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 8.5% 7.0% 4.8% 3.8%
Aidan Hoogland 18.4% 16.4% 15.4% 12.8% 11.5% 7.5% 6.6% 5.0% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Graham Ness 8.6% 9.9% 8.8% 8.2% 9.0% 9.4% 8.9% 9.2% 8.3% 6.3% 6.6% 4.5% 2.2%
Jonas Nelle 7.6% 7.1% 8.1% 7.6% 9.0% 8.2% 9.2% 8.6% 9.0% 7.9% 7.4% 5.9% 4.2%
Connor Sheridan 7.1% 7.1% 7.5% 7.0% 8.1% 7.8% 8.0% 8.8% 9.7% 8.2% 8.3% 7.9% 4.4%
Gregory Walters 4.2% 4.5% 4.4% 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 6.0% 6.7% 7.8% 9.2% 11.2% 14.3% 16.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.5% 5.5% 5.6% 6.5% 6.1% 7.0% 7.8% 7.7% 8.5% 8.4% 10.7% 9.8% 10.9%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.8% 11.8% 10.2% 10.2% 9.7% 8.9% 8.4% 9.5% 6.2% 6.2% 4.3% 2.9% 1.0%
Luke Quine 2.6% 3.2% 3.4% 4.5% 4.4% 5.3% 4.4% 5.9% 6.9% 9.0% 11.1% 14.4% 24.9%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.5% 5.8% 6.7% 8.2% 6.2% 8.0% 9.0% 8.3% 8.4% 9.2% 8.2% 8.8% 6.9%
Jacob Macdonald 5.3% 5.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.0% 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% 9.8% 10.0% 9.6% 10.2% 9.2%
Mott Blair 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 5.7% 5.4% 6.7% 6.5% 7.0% 8.0% 9.9% 10.8% 12.9% 14.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.