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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84+4.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.61+4.14vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.77+3.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.50+2.68vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.81+0.44vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.17+1.38vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.58-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.03-0.27vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45-4.83vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.97-1.93vs Predicted
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11The Citadel1.22-2.40vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.54-2.74vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.30-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.8410.6%1st Place
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6.14Boston College1.619.1%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University1.777.0%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University1.507.8%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island1.8111.7%1st Place
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7.38Northeastern University1.175.9%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College1.588.3%1st Place
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7.73University of Wisconsin1.035.1%1st Place
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4.17Roger Williams University2.4518.7%1st Place
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8.07Boston University0.974.3%1st Place
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8.6The Citadel1.224.3%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont0.542.9%1st Place
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8.58Maine Maritime Academy0.304.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nathan Olmsted | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
Graham Ness | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
Jonas Nelle | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
Connor Sheridan | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
Joshua Bartoszuk | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Ted Bjerregaard | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.4% |
Perham Black | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
Jacob Macdonald | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
Aidan Hoogland | 18.7% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% |
Gregory Walters | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 18.6% |
Luke Quine | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 23.8% |
Mott Blair | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.