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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+2.58vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+2.80vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.28+3.60vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.51+1.95vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.40+6.27vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.72+2.18vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.16vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.04-0.81vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.99+0.99vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-5.04vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania-0.56+1.85vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.46vs Predicted
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13Colgate University1.69-4.93vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.38-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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4.8Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.6Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.95George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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11.27Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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7.19Cornell University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Pennsylvania-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.07Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.19Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 22.6% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 27.3% | 17.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 5.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meaghan Harding | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 17.3% | 58.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Joy MacDonald | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 20.7% | 25.6% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.