Race 11A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonas Nelle 7.4% 7.9% 8.3% 7.8% 8.5% 9.3% 8.8% 9.2% 9.8% 6.5% 8.8% 4.8% 2.6%
Aidan Hoogland 19.0% 17.0% 13.3% 12.1% 10.9% 9.3% 6.3% 5.1% 3.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Graham Ness 8.6% 8.8% 9.9% 10.2% 8.6% 10.0% 9.0% 8.7% 7.1% 7.0% 5.9% 4.2% 1.9%
Connor Sheridan 8.1% 7.8% 7.6% 7.5% 8.6% 7.5% 9.4% 8.2% 9.8% 9.1% 6.7% 6.3% 3.2%
Perham Black 9.5% 8.1% 9.2% 8.8% 10.0% 8.4% 9.3% 9.2% 7.1% 7.2% 6.7% 4.8% 1.9%
Luke Quine 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 3.8% 3.6% 4.1% 6.2% 7.7% 7.5% 10.0% 12.0% 15.6% 19.1%
Nathan Olmsted 12.2% 11.7% 12.2% 10.4% 8.8% 9.0% 9.7% 7.5% 6.1% 5.7% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.1% 7.1% 6.2% 7.1% 7.8% 8.8% 7.7% 8.3% 9.8% 9.8% 8.4% 7.4% 5.3%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.0% 11.4% 10.6% 12.0% 10.8% 10.6% 8.2% 7.0% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0%
Gregory Walters 4.5% 4.2% 5.5% 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 6.5% 7.4% 8.1% 9.4% 11.5% 13.0% 13.8%
Nicholas Hardy 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 6.1% 7.8% 11.8% 15.6% 30.9%
Jacob Macdonald 6.2% 6.1% 5.9% 6.2% 7.2% 7.1% 7.4% 8.5% 8.0% 10.2% 10.2% 9.5% 7.5%
Mott Blair 3.2% 4.1% 4.2% 5.7% 6.1% 6.5% 6.4% 8.3% 9.8% 10.5% 9.4% 13.9% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.