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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.51+4.84vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.87+2.78vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46+0.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.97vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.04+2.30vs Predicted
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6Colgate University1.69+2.28vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.18vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.72+0.02vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.28-2.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.99+0.08vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.44vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.40-0.72vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.38-1.80vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania-0.56-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.78Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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3.51Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.3Cornell University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.28Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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8.02Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.6Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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4.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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11.28Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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11.2Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Pennsylvania-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Sinagra | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 21.7% | 21.0% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Emily Bicks | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 7.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 15.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 25.1% | 16.9% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 19.0% | 25.4% | 17.0% |
| Meaghan Harding | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.