Race 12A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonas Nelle 8.0% 9.1% 8.7% 8.6% 9.8% 8.2% 8.7% 8.3% 7.5% 7.8% 6.9% 5.8% 2.6%
Aidan Hoogland 19.6% 16.8% 14.5% 12.0% 9.8% 9.5% 7.3% 4.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Connor Sheridan 6.7% 6.7% 7.8% 8.3% 7.7% 8.5% 8.8% 8.3% 10.4% 8.1% 8.5% 6.3% 3.9%
Nathan Olmsted 11.2% 12.5% 11.7% 11.1% 9.3% 10.7% 7.5% 7.7% 5.9% 5.5% 3.8% 2.4% 0.8%
Perham Black 8.2% 8.3% 9.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.0% 8.3% 8.9% 7.5% 8.5% 6.6% 4.2% 2.4%
Gregory Walters 5.0% 4.2% 3.7% 4.2% 5.2% 4.9% 6.5% 7.0% 9.3% 10.3% 12.4% 15.0% 12.3%
Graham Ness 9.5% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 10.9% 8.9% 9.3% 9.0% 7.8% 6.6% 5.8% 3.7% 1.9%
Joshua Bartoszuk 9.9% 11.6% 10.8% 11.2% 9.7% 10.0% 10.3% 8.0% 6.7% 5.1% 3.9% 1.9% 1.1%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.3% 6.9% 5.5% 8.4% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 8.3% 9.6% 10.7% 9.2% 7.8% 5.0%
Jacob Macdonald 6.4% 5.5% 5.4% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 7.3% 10.4% 8.8% 9.6% 9.7% 8.4% 6.6%
Luke Quine 3.6% 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 4.9% 4.5% 5.9% 7.4% 8.4% 8.9% 10.7% 15.7% 17.8%
Nicholas Hardy 2.8% 2.4% 3.3% 2.9% 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 4.4% 5.7% 8.1% 10.2% 15.0% 33.1%
Mott Blair 2.9% 4.5% 5.3% 4.0% 5.5% 6.1% 7.8% 7.8% 9.0% 9.2% 11.7% 13.5% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.