Race 11B

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Katia DaSilva 22.5% 20.2% 15.3% 12.2% 9.6% 7.0% 5.4% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 12.6% 13.6% 12.6% 11.8% 11.0% 10.0% 10.0% 7.8% 4.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 11.7% 14.2% 12.0% 11.6% 11.1% 10.7% 8.5% 7.5% 6.6% 3.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 2.9% 3.9% 4.4% 5.2% 7.0% 5.8% 7.7% 10.2% 10.8% 14.7% 12.0% 8.7% 5.1% 1.6%
Brooke Lyon 6.8% 7.6% 9.5% 10.3% 8.7% 11.7% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 8.0% 5.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Lindsey Ludwig 5.6% 4.2% 6.2% 5.7% 7.8% 8.7% 11.3% 10.5% 10.1% 11.5% 9.2% 6.3% 2.7% 0.2%
Meaghan Harding 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 3.0% 6.1% 10.2% 16.3% 55.6%
Johanna Monro 4.2% 4.8% 4.8% 5.8% 5.2% 6.8% 7.3% 9.8% 10.3% 13.8% 11.1% 10.2% 4.2% 1.7%
Carolyn Smith 14.3% 12.6% 13.0% 13.1% 13.0% 10.5% 7.2% 6.5% 5.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 1.8% 3.2% 3.9% 5.3% 4.8% 8.1% 10.6% 17.2% 16.9% 15.3% 7.1%
Veronica Maccari 6.5% 7.4% 6.5% 8.7% 8.5% 9.7% 9.8% 10.1% 10.7% 9.3% 8.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Maria Sinagra 8.1% 6.7% 11.5% 10.3% 10.8% 10.1% 9.7% 10.7% 8.6% 5.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Joy MacDonald 1.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.7% 1.1% 2.5% 3.6% 3.2% 4.8% 6.6% 11.1% 18.2% 26.9% 16.8%
Laura Maranto 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.4% 6.4% 6.4% 10.7% 18.8% 26.2% 16.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.