Race 12B

maisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maria Sinagra 8.2% 8.9% 10.0% 10.4% 10.3% 11.4% 9.6% 9.2% 6.8% 7.3% 4.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Katia DaSilva 22.7% 19.6% 15.6% 13.7% 9.9% 7.9% 4.4% 3.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 7.3% 7.3% 8.0% 6.7% 9.6% 8.8% 10.2% 13.0% 8.6% 9.6% 6.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Lindsey Ludwig 5.0% 5.5% 5.3% 7.6% 7.5% 9.3% 10.4% 9.8% 12.1% 10.5% 8.5% 5.8% 2.4% 0.3%
Johanna Monro 3.0% 3.9% 4.8% 4.4% 5.6% 8.2% 7.6% 8.8% 12.8% 11.9% 12.8% 9.3% 5.7% 1.2%
Corina Radtke 10.7% 11.5% 11.5% 13.5% 11.5% 9.8% 9.9% 6.0% 6.6% 5.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Carolyn Smith 15.3% 15.1% 14.4% 11.0% 12.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.9% 4.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 4.0% 4.4% 4.9% 5.5% 6.4% 6.4% 6.5% 11.7% 10.4% 10.3% 13.6% 9.8% 5.1% 1.0%
Brooke Lyon 7.5% 7.7% 7.6% 9.5% 10.2% 11.2% 12.0% 9.0% 10.3% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 1.3% 0.9% 1.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 3.7% 5.7% 7.6% 12.1% 16.8% 27.7% 17.7%
Marissa Lihan 11.5% 12.3% 13.0% 11.1% 10.5% 11.0% 9.7% 9.4% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.8% 1.2% 2.8% 2.0% 3.4% 2.6% 5.5% 5.7% 8.6% 12.2% 16.6% 16.9% 13.5% 7.2%
Laura Maranto 1.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 2.5% 3.8% 4.9% 8.2% 10.8% 19.0% 25.1% 16.8%
Meaghan Harding 0.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 2.7% 3.2% 4.9% 11.2% 17.5% 55.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.