Race 13A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Hoogland 20.0% 18.4% 14.0% 12.2% 9.4% 8.2% 6.5% 4.0% 3.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Perham Black 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 8.4% 9.3% 8.8% 9.8% 8.7% 8.3% 5.9% 5.5% 1.8%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.8% 5.9% 6.6% 7.3% 8.1% 7.2% 8.5% 8.4% 9.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.6% 4.6%
Connor Sheridan 6.7% 7.2% 7.9% 7.8% 8.7% 8.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.6% 8.1% 8.8% 5.8% 3.6%
Gregory Walters 3.9% 5.6% 4.5% 5.5% 6.0% 5.5% 7.0% 6.9% 8.5% 9.2% 10.9% 13.2% 13.5%
Graham Ness 9.3% 10.0% 9.2% 9.4% 8.8% 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 7.8% 7.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.6%
Jonas Nelle 8.8% 7.1% 9.0% 10.0% 9.4% 9.8% 8.8% 8.1% 7.9% 7.4% 5.9% 4.9% 2.9%
Nathan Olmsted 11.0% 12.0% 10.8% 9.2% 10.0% 10.0% 8.8% 8.1% 7.3% 5.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8%
Jacob Macdonald 5.5% 4.3% 6.0% 5.9% 8.5% 7.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.8% 9.7% 10.1% 10.0% 7.8%
Joshua Bartoszuk 11.2% 10.7% 11.9% 10.6% 9.6% 9.8% 9.6% 7.6% 5.9% 6.0% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7%
Mott Blair 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 5.3% 6.2% 6.2% 8.6% 8.6% 9.8% 11.0% 11.5% 12.8%
Nicholas Hardy 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 3.9% 5.9% 7.2% 7.6% 10.3% 16.9% 31.1%
Luke Quine 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 4.9% 4.3% 4.8% 6.2% 7.2% 7.6% 9.8% 11.7% 14.1% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.