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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.25+9.27vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.70+6.69vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.81+5.38vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.07+3.48vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.07+2.44vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.05+5.10vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut2.51+2.58vs Predicted
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9Bates College2.26+1.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+1.83vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.63-5.52vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.62-6.44vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.33-6.47vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.65-1.71vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-10.15vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.89-7.83vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.91-8.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.27Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.38Maine Maritime Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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11.1Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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10.29Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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11.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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5.48Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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5.56Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Vermont3.330.1%1st Place
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12.29University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
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4.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.2%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Sweriduk | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Ryan White | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Poole | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| George Saunders | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Weston Barlow | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.6% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| David Pierce | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 22.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bernie Roesler | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 26.7% |
| Philip Crain | 15.6% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Meleny | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.