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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+1.26vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.04+3.87vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.69+3.91vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.99+4.73vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.61vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.87-2.45vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24+0.96vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.17vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72-2.17vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania-0.56+1.77vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.28-5.73vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.38-2.02vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.40-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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3.26Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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6.87Cornell University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.91Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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4.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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4.55Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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7.83Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Pennsylvania-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.27Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.98Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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10.99Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 13.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katia DaSilva | 24.0% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Ludwig | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Bicks | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 13.4% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Lyon | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Meaghan Harding | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 59.1% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 14.7% |
| Laura Maranto | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 23.9% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.