Race 14A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Hoogland 20.1% 16.8% 14.6% 12.8% 10.0% 8.0% 5.8% 5.0% 3.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Jonas Nelle 7.8% 7.0% 8.1% 9.2% 8.5% 9.8% 8.9% 9.3% 8.2% 8.7% 6.9% 5.4% 2.1%
Perham Black 9.4% 8.8% 8.0% 9.5% 8.7% 9.3% 8.0% 8.2% 8.5% 8.4% 5.9% 5.2% 2.1%
Nathan Olmsted 11.8% 11.8% 10.1% 10.8% 11.1% 8.6% 8.2% 8.0% 6.8% 5.6% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1%
Graham Ness 8.3% 10.1% 11.1% 8.9% 10.0% 9.1% 9.8% 7.2% 7.8% 6.1% 5.8% 4.0% 1.8%
Joshua Bartoszuk 11.5% 10.7% 10.8% 9.6% 10.3% 9.4% 8.9% 8.5% 7.1% 5.9% 3.6% 2.8% 0.9%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.4% 6.5% 7.8% 8.1% 6.7% 7.3% 8.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.6% 9.0% 7.3% 5.7%
Gregory Walters 4.0% 4.6% 5.0% 5.0% 5.8% 6.5% 6.7% 7.6% 7.3% 8.6% 13.0% 13.2% 12.8%
Connor Sheridan 7.1% 6.6% 7.9% 7.5% 8.4% 7.8% 9.7% 9.2% 10.3% 7.6% 8.0% 6.2% 3.5%
Jacob Macdonald 4.7% 6.7% 5.5% 6.9% 6.3% 7.5% 7.4% 8.4% 7.8% 9.8% 11.2% 9.5% 8.3%
Luke Quine 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 5.1% 5.5% 6.6% 6.2% 8.2% 8.7% 12.4% 16.0% 17.7%
Nicholas Hardy 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 7.0% 9.0% 8.3% 15.3% 31.8%
Mott Blair 4.5% 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 5.5% 7.5% 7.7% 8.0% 8.6% 9.6% 11.0% 12.2% 12.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.