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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+1.79vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.74+3.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+2.79vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.01+3.10vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.56+3.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.69-0.23vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.34+3.42vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.78-1.73vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.54-3.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.69-3.65vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.05-4.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.16-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Harvard University3.0530.8%1st Place
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5.55Boston College1.749.3%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3216.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island1.425.9%1st Place
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8.1Boston University1.013.8%1st Place
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9.21University of Vermont0.562.9%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University1.695.9%1st Place
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11.42Maine Maritime Academy-0.341.4%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College0.785.0%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University1.545.9%1st Place
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7.35Northeastern University1.694.9%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College0.055.3%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.5%1st Place
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10.51University of Wisconsin0.161.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 30.8% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Budington | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 16.1% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 8.9% |
| John Walton | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 36.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 24.1% |
| William Davis | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.