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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.04+5.84vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.24+6.89vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester0.99+5.72vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.30vs Predicted
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6Colgate University1.69+1.99vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.46-3.77vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.87-3.34vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.28-2.71vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40+1.15vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.67vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.72-4.14vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.38-1.99vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania-0.56-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Cornell University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.89George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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5.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.99Colgate University1.690.0%1st Place
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3.23Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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4.66Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.29Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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11.15Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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4.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.86Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.01Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Pennsylvania-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Ludwig | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 6.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Katia DaSilva | 24.5% | 22.8% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 14.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 25.0% | 17.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Joy MacDonald | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 23.7% | 16.2% |
| Meaghan Harding | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.