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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.74+4.23vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+5.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.54+3.52vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.56+4.64vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.69+1.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-3.43vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.34+3.55vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.78-1.29vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.69-2.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.42-4.37vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.16-2.40vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Boston College1.749.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston University1.014.0%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University1.544.7%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont0.562.9%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University1.696.9%1st Place
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2.57Harvard University3.0534.8%1st Place
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10.55Maine Maritime Academy-0.341.2%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College0.785.9%1st Place
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6.9Northeastern University1.694.8%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.7%1st Place
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6.63University of Rhode Island1.425.5%1st Place
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9.6University of Wisconsin0.161.6%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3217.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Budington | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 8.9% |
| John Walton | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 34.8% | 23.6% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 36.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 26.7% |
| Henry Lee | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| William Davis | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 17.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 17.1% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.