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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.13+3.18vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.15+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72-0.99vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.45-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.92vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81-2.74vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.83-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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4.22Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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2.01University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
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3.83Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.26Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.59Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Lee | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 10.3% |
| Samuel Cushing | 45.0% | 27.3% | 15.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 5.5% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 55.5% |
| Peter Bailey | 17.0% | 19.4% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| William Manning | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 24.7% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.