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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.02vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.15+2.23vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+0.29vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.81-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.12vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.83-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
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4.23Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.76Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.57Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 46.2% | 25.8% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 10.7% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.5% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 6.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.7% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 11.2% |
| Peter Bailey | 15.0% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 53.9% |
| William Manning | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 25.0% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.