← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.03vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.81+1.18vs Predicted
-
3Wesleyan University1.45+0.81vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.15+0.24vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University0.83-0.26vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut1.13-1.74vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.03University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
-
3.18Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
-
3.81Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
-
4.24Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.74Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
-
4.26University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 45.7% | 26.6% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Peter Bailey | 17.0% | 22.2% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.4% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 19.8% | 9.7% |
| William Manning | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 23.0% | 18.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 9.6% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 11.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.