Race 4B

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adrian van der Wal 4.7% 5.7% 6.6% 7.6% 8.3% 10.1% 10.4% 9.7% 11.2% 10.4% 8.3% 5.2% 1.8%
Lachlain McGranahan 34.2% 25.7% 16.8% 9.9% 6.9% 3.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Walton 7.0% 7.5% 7.8% 10.1% 9.8% 10.7% 10.1% 9.9% 9.4% 7.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7%
Nathan Selian 3.4% 5.7% 5.7% 8.1% 6.9% 8.6% 9.6% 9.8% 9.0% 10.7% 11.2% 7.4% 4.2%
Teagan Cunningham 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 7.6% 10.5% 9.0% 10.0% 12.2% 10.4% 8.1% 7.0% 4.0% 1.8%
Gavin Sanborn 2.2% 3.4% 4.0% 6.2% 5.1% 6.2% 8.1% 7.8% 10.1% 11.9% 13.7% 12.8% 8.5%
Lewis Bragg 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 2.9% 2.8% 4.4% 4.5% 6.3% 7.0% 9.6% 12.8% 19.1% 24.9%
William Davis 2.2% 1.6% 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 3.5% 3.6% 6.1% 7.8% 11.9% 14.2% 19.7% 19.0%
Bryan Trammell 5.5% 6.6% 8.5% 9.5% 9.2% 10.3% 10.8% 9.4% 10.7% 8.6% 5.9% 4.0% 1.1%
Henry Lee 6.1% 7.0% 8.5% 8.6% 11.2% 11.3% 9.8% 10.3% 8.6% 7.9% 6.5% 2.9% 1.2%
Matt Budington 10.4% 9.9% 11.7% 9.0% 12.0% 12.0% 9.7% 8.6% 7.2% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Olivia Mitchell 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 4.3% 4.5% 5.7% 7.3% 11.2% 20.1% 35.4%
Nicholas Reeser 16.1% 17.5% 16.1% 14.8% 11.5% 7.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.