Race 5B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Selian 3.5% 4.1% 5.8% 6.2% 8.1% 8.0% 9.8% 10.2% 10.3% 10.6% 12.2% 7.3% 4.0%
John Walton 6.9% 7.6% 9.2% 9.4% 8.8% 12.0% 10.8% 9.6% 10.1% 7.8% 4.6% 2.4% 0.7%
Matt Budington 8.6% 12.3% 12.4% 11.9% 11.2% 11.5% 10.0% 8.2% 5.9% 4.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Adrian van der Wal 5.3% 6.3% 6.7% 9.4% 9.6% 8.5% 10.1% 10.0% 9.8% 9.3% 7.8% 5.2% 2.0%
Lachlain McGranahan 33.8% 24.1% 17.4% 10.5% 7.2% 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 3.1% 3.1% 4.7% 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 10.3% 11.2% 14.0% 13.2% 9.2%
Nicholas Reeser 17.6% 15.8% 15.6% 14.4% 11.6% 8.6% 6.5% 4.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Teagan Cunningham 5.1% 6.5% 7.2% 8.5% 8.7% 9.4% 10.7% 11.0% 10.7% 9.8% 6.5% 4.5% 1.5%
Henry Lee 6.0% 7.2% 7.8% 8.5% 9.6% 10.5% 9.3% 10.9% 8.3% 9.8% 6.6% 4.0% 1.2%
Olivia Mitchell 1.5% 1.0% 1.1% 2.3% 2.7% 3.0% 3.8% 4.2% 6.8% 7.5% 12.8% 18.1% 35.1%
Bryan Trammell 6.0% 7.1% 8.0% 8.5% 10.2% 10.9% 9.9% 10.2% 10.2% 8.7% 5.5% 3.0% 1.8%
Lewis Bragg 1.2% 2.2% 1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.5% 4.9% 4.7% 6.4% 8.6% 14.1% 20.5% 26.1%
William Davis 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 7.2% 7.8% 10.2% 13.5% 20.1% 18.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.