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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.01vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.15+2.16vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+0.29vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.83-0.26vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.81-2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
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4.16Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.79Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 46.0% | 27.2% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Miranda | 9.2% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 9.8% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.3% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 11.6% |
| William Manning | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 24.4% | 17.8% |
| Peter Bailey | 16.8% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.