Race 6B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matt Budington 9.8% 9.8% 11.4% 10.7% 11.1% 12.2% 11.2% 8.7% 5.9% 5.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Adrian van der Wal 5.4% 6.8% 6.5% 8.3% 9.2% 8.3% 10.4% 9.7% 11.0% 9.3% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2%
Nicholas Reeser 16.2% 17.6% 16.7% 13.4% 11.8% 8.3% 5.9% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Bryan Trammell 5.4% 7.4% 8.9% 9.3% 9.4% 10.9% 9.9% 10.5% 8.5% 7.9% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
Lachlain McGranahan 34.3% 24.6% 16.8% 10.7% 6.9% 3.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Walton 6.0% 7.2% 7.3% 9.9% 10.3% 11.5% 10.2% 10.1% 9.5% 8.2% 6.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Gavin Sanborn 3.2% 3.3% 3.8% 4.8% 6.0% 6.3% 6.4% 8.1% 9.1% 12.0% 14.5% 14.6% 7.8%
Henry Lee 5.5% 6.5% 8.8% 9.6% 9.4% 10.0% 9.7% 10.0% 11.2% 8.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.4%
Teagan Cunningham 5.3% 6.8% 7.9% 8.6% 8.5% 10.2% 11.1% 11.3% 9.7% 8.8% 6.5% 4.2% 1.3%
Olivia Mitchell 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 3.1% 3.9% 4.2% 4.9% 5.4% 7.1% 10.6% 18.5% 35.8%
Nathan Selian 4.4% 5.2% 5.0% 6.2% 6.8% 7.8% 9.0% 10.0% 11.3% 10.7% 11.2% 8.0% 4.4%
Lewis Bragg 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.2% 6.8% 9.3% 14.1% 21.1% 24.9%
William Davis 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 3.5% 5.4% 6.2% 8.4% 10.3% 13.8% 17.6% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.