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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.01+6.54vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.69+4.96vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.69+3.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.09vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.74+0.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-3.45vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.78-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.56+0.72vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.34+1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-3.66vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.54-4.64vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.16-2.25vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Boston University1.014.0%1st Place
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6.96Northeastern University1.694.8%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University1.697.5%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3214.4%1st Place
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5.35Boston College1.749.5%1st Place
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2.55Harvard University3.0535.4%1st Place
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6.64Bowdoin College0.786.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont0.561.8%1st Place
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10.59Maine Maritime Academy-0.341.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island1.426.6%1st Place
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6.36Tufts University1.545.7%1st Place
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9.75University of Wisconsin0.161.9%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Nathan Selian | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
Adrian van der Wal | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
John Walton | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Nicholas Reeser | 14.4% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Matt Budington | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Lachlain McGranahan | 35.4% | 25.6% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Teagan Cunningham | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
Gavin Sanborn | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% |
Olivia Mitchell | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 19.5% | 35.5% |
Henry Lee | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
Bryan Trammell | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
William Davis | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 19.6% |
Lewis Bragg | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.