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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University1.45+2.77vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.15+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72-1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+0.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.81-1.75vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.19Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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1.97University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
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4.31University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.77Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 12.4% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 21.0% | 16.1% | 9.7% |
| Samuel Cushing | 46.6% | 26.4% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 10.6% |
| Peter Bailey | 16.8% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| William Manning | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 24.4% | 18.5% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.