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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.13+2.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.81+0.20vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.15+0.25vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University1.45-1.19vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
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4.2University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.2Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.25Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.81Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 45.7% | 25.9% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.3% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 10.2% |
| Peter Bailey | 16.6% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 10.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.8% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 6.1% |
| William Manning | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 22.6% | 19.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.