Race 8B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lachlain McGranahan 34.2% 24.1% 19.0% 9.9% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Mitchell 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 1.9% 3.5% 3.9% 4.6% 6.1% 8.1% 11.2% 19.7% 34.2%
Nicholas Reeser 15.7% 18.1% 16.1% 14.9% 12.7% 8.9% 5.4% 4.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
John Walton 6.2% 8.5% 8.4% 10.2% 10.8% 9.6% 9.1% 9.2% 8.6% 9.1% 5.8% 3.1% 1.4%
Matt Budington 8.6% 10.3% 11.1% 12.6% 11.2% 11.7% 10.2% 8.8% 6.8% 4.0% 3.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 4.3% 4.2% 5.3% 7.5% 5.9% 8.8% 10.1% 10.0% 11.2% 11.4% 10.8% 7.0% 3.4%
Teagan Cunningham 5.5% 6.2% 7.3% 7.4% 8.9% 9.9% 10.9% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 7.1% 4.2% 1.5%
William Davis 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 6.2% 6.6% 7.0% 8.8% 14.1% 19.1% 20.5%
Bryan Trammell 6.3% 5.3% 8.6% 8.2% 11.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.1% 9.2% 8.8% 6.9% 3.9% 0.9%
Adrian van der Wal 5.3% 5.7% 6.6% 7.4% 9.8% 10.2% 9.8% 9.8% 11.0% 9.1% 7.8% 5.5% 2.1%
Gavin Sanborn 2.9% 3.8% 4.0% 5.1% 5.2% 6.2% 7.3% 8.0% 9.8% 12.6% 14.1% 13.5% 7.6%
Henry Lee 6.5% 8.1% 8.2% 9.0% 8.6% 10.2% 10.7% 10.8% 9.3% 8.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.8%
Lewis Bragg 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 3.0% 4.8% 6.2% 8.2% 8.6% 13.5% 19.2% 26.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.