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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.04vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.15+2.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.81+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13+0.29vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University1.45-1.19vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
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4.17Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.2Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.29University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.81Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 45.6% | 26.0% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 9.7% |
| Peter Bailey | 16.6% | 23.5% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 11.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.8% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 6.0% |
| William Manning | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 22.9% | 18.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 18.6% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.