Race 9B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
John Walton 5.8% 7.0% 8.0% 10.8% 10.1% 11.0% 10.1% 10.4% 9.0% 8.8% 4.9% 3.0% 1.1%
Matt Budington 10.3% 10.4% 11.9% 10.7% 11.3% 11.3% 9.8% 8.9% 7.0% 4.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Gavin Sanborn 3.5% 3.0% 3.6% 4.3% 6.0% 6.8% 7.1% 8.1% 10.1% 11.1% 13.1% 13.6% 9.8%
Nicholas Reeser 17.3% 18.9% 16.4% 13.7% 11.8% 7.8% 6.1% 4.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 3.8% 4.8% 5.9% 7.0% 8.5% 8.0% 9.5% 9.7% 10.4% 11.2% 10.6% 6.9% 4.0%
Lachlain McGranahan 33.3% 24.3% 17.2% 11.7% 6.7% 3.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrian van der Wal 4.5% 5.8% 6.6% 8.8% 9.3% 8.8% 9.9% 10.3% 10.4% 9.8% 7.8% 5.9% 2.1%
Bryan Trammell 5.1% 7.1% 8.8% 7.3% 9.3% 10.5% 11.3% 11.1% 10.2% 8.2% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2%
Teagan Cunningham 5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 9.8% 9.3% 10.4% 10.5% 11.5% 9.1% 8.3% 6.4% 4.5% 1.2%
Olivia Mitchell 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.4% 3.5% 4.6% 5.2% 8.4% 11.8% 19.9% 35.6%
Henry Lee 6.5% 7.0% 8.2% 8.6% 8.5% 11.1% 10.8% 9.7% 10.1% 8.1% 6.6% 4.0% 0.9%
Lewis Bragg 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.5% 7.0% 9.3% 14.1% 20.1% 25.5%
William Davis 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 3.0% 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 8.9% 11.3% 15.3% 17.5% 18.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.