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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.85+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.23+0.68vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.44+2.08vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University2.00-2.14vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.66+0.60vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.30-1.09vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.66-0.13vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.92-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Michigan0.8514.6%1st Place
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2.68University of Notre Dame1.2322.9%1st Place
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5.08Michigan State University-0.444.3%1st Place
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1.86Ohio State University2.0047.1%1st Place
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5.6Western Michigan University-0.662.5%1st Place
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4.91Michigan Technological University-0.304.6%1st Place
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6.87Marquette University-1.661.6%1st Place
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5.76Michigan Technological University-0.922.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Visco | 14.6% | 20.2% | 23.7% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Payden Pittman | 22.9% | 27.0% | 24.0% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 7.7% |
| Emerson Becker | 47.1% | 29.5% | 15.5% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marko Nedeljkovic | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 24.0% | 13.9% |
| Alex Cross | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 21.6% | 13.8% | 6.4% |
| Charlie Herman | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 53.8% |
| Joshua Hacker | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 24.4% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.