Race 10B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matt Budington 8.6% 9.3% 11.6% 12.2% 11.1% 11.2% 11.8% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Lachlain McGranahan 35.0% 23.8% 17.1% 10.2% 7.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 5.8% 5.7% 7.9% 9.0% 9.9% 10.5% 10.6% 10.1% 9.6% 9.2% 6.3% 4.4% 1.1%
Gavin Sanborn 2.2% 3.4% 3.6% 5.5% 4.8% 6.7% 7.6% 7.4% 9.2% 11.5% 14.1% 15.0% 9.0%
Nathan Selian 3.8% 5.5% 5.1% 6.6% 7.4% 8.3% 8.2% 10.8% 12.2% 11.2% 9.4% 7.5% 4.1%
Nicholas Reeser 18.4% 18.6% 15.2% 13.6% 12.3% 8.3% 6.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Henry Lee 5.9% 6.9% 8.6% 8.7% 10.7% 10.1% 9.6% 10.7% 10.4% 8.2% 5.8% 3.0% 1.3%
Lewis Bragg 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 2.5% 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 7.3% 9.2% 13.0% 20.2% 25.9%
Adrian van der Wal 4.1% 7.0% 7.4% 7.0% 8.8% 8.9% 10.3% 10.7% 9.9% 10.2% 8.8% 5.1% 1.6%
John Walton 5.2% 7.3% 8.8% 8.8% 10.1% 10.2% 10.0% 11.6% 9.6% 8.8% 5.5% 3.1% 0.9%
Olivia Mitchell 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 4.8% 5.7% 8.6% 11.8% 19.6% 34.9%
William Davis 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 3.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 7.8% 9.9% 14.4% 17.8% 19.9%
Bryan Trammell 5.9% 6.9% 8.2% 9.8% 9.2% 10.3% 11.2% 10.2% 9.1% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.