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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University1.45+2.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.81+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.13+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72-1.94vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.15-0.73vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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3.17Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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2.06University of Rhode Island2.720.4%1st Place
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4.27Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 13.5% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 5.9% |
| Peter Bailey | 17.0% | 23.3% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 11.2% |
| Samuel Cushing | 43.9% | 25.1% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 7.4% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 9.9% |
| William Manning | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 22.8% | 18.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 17.7% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.