Race 11B

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matt Budington 8.6% 10.0% 10.8% 13.6% 11.5% 12.0% 10.1% 7.9% 6.3% 5.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
John Walton 6.5% 7.8% 9.8% 9.3% 10.1% 9.5% 9.7% 10.6% 9.0% 8.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.1%
Henry Lee 5.5% 6.4% 8.3% 8.8% 9.8% 10.2% 11.8% 11.6% 9.0% 8.3% 5.6% 3.7% 0.9%
Lachlain McGranahan 35.1% 24.5% 15.3% 11.7% 6.4% 3.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 6.3% 6.6% 7.8% 8.2% 10.8% 10.5% 9.7% 9.9% 9.8% 7.2% 7.7% 4.2% 1.4%
Adrian van der Wal 5.5% 5.5% 7.1% 8.9% 7.7% 9.4% 10.7% 11.1% 10.8% 9.4% 7.9% 4.7% 1.3%
Bryan Trammell 5.5% 6.3% 8.5% 9.1% 9.8% 11.1% 10.0% 10.3% 10.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.0% 0.8%
Lewis Bragg 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.7% 4.3% 6.0% 6.8% 8.8% 12.4% 21.0% 26.2%
Nicholas Reeser 15.6% 18.9% 16.9% 13.4% 11.2% 8.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Gavin Sanborn 2.4% 3.5% 3.6% 4.2% 5.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.6% 10.9% 12.7% 15.8% 13.2% 8.9%
Nathan Selian 4.2% 5.2% 6.0% 5.8% 7.8% 7.8% 9.1% 9.8% 12.3% 10.7% 9.3% 8.1% 3.9%
William Davis 2.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.2% 4.5% 6.3% 6.3% 7.7% 9.8% 14.0% 18.9% 19.4%
Olivia Mitchell 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 2.8% 4.7% 4.7% 9.2% 12.0% 19.3% 35.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.