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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.02vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.15+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.13+1.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.81-0.80vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.83-0.23vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Rhode Island2.720.4%1st Place
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4.18Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.2Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.77Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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3.78Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 44.8% | 27.3% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 9.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.0% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 11.3% |
| Peter Bailey | 17.8% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| William Manning | 5.4% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 23.9% | 18.8% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 12.1% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 6.8% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 18.3% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.