Race 12B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nicholas Reeser 16.4% 17.2% 17.0% 15.0% 12.2% 7.1% 6.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
John Walton 5.1% 6.4% 8.2% 9.8% 10.9% 11.2% 11.2% 10.2% 9.8% 7.6% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
Lachlain McGranahan 33.1% 27.2% 16.4% 10.4% 5.7% 4.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 2.6% 3.2% 4.3% 4.6% 4.7% 5.9% 7.2% 8.6% 8.5% 13.0% 14.2% 12.7% 10.3%
Adrian van der Wal 5.3% 5.8% 7.5% 7.7% 9.8% 9.9% 10.4% 10.0% 9.6% 9.3% 7.2% 5.5% 2.1%
Henry Lee 5.7% 7.3% 8.0% 10.0% 9.7% 10.7% 10.5% 8.9% 9.6% 8.0% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4%
Matt Budington 10.1% 9.2% 10.4% 11.4% 11.7% 12.1% 10.0% 9.7% 6.9% 4.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Bryan Trammell 6.2% 7.3% 8.6% 9.1% 9.7% 11.1% 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 8.3% 6.0% 3.5% 1.2%
Teagan Cunningham 5.8% 5.8% 8.2% 7.8% 8.2% 8.7% 11.3% 11.8% 9.8% 9.1% 7.3% 4.7% 1.7%
Olivia Mitchell 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 2.0% 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 5.1% 5.9% 8.0% 11.3% 18.5% 35.0%
William Davis 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 3.6% 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.7% 7.2% 10.9% 13.2% 20.3% 18.4%
Nathan Selian 4.5% 4.8% 5.3% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.9% 10.6% 10.8% 11.2% 11.4% 7.2% 4.1%
Lewis Bragg 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 3.6% 3.6% 4.3% 4.9% 8.6% 8.6% 14.2% 20.1% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.