Race 13B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lachlain McGranahan 33.7% 24.6% 17.4% 10.1% 6.8% 4.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 2.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.0% 6.7% 6.9% 7.5% 9.8% 11.4% 15.0% 13.2% 8.9%
Matt Budington 10.4% 8.9% 9.9% 11.5% 13.2% 11.2% 9.8% 9.5% 5.9% 5.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
Nathan Selian 4.7% 5.9% 5.0% 6.8% 6.9% 9.0% 8.6% 8.8% 9.5% 11.7% 10.8% 8.6% 3.7%
Olivia Mitchell 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.5% 7.5% 11.6% 20.2% 36.1%
Adrian van der Wal 5.0% 6.4% 6.3% 8.8% 8.8% 9.5% 9.8% 11.3% 10.0% 9.4% 6.9% 5.6% 2.1%
Nicholas Reeser 16.2% 18.8% 15.1% 15.0% 10.7% 8.6% 6.4% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Henry Lee 5.7% 6.1% 8.8% 8.0% 11.2% 10.5% 10.7% 10.3% 9.4% 8.2% 6.2% 3.9% 1.1%
Bryan Trammell 5.5% 7.3% 8.2% 10.2% 8.0% 10.9% 11.2% 10.2% 10.2% 8.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.3%
John Walton 6.6% 7.4% 9.4% 9.1% 10.0% 9.7% 10.0% 10.5% 10.2% 7.4% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9%
Lewis Bragg 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 3.1% 3.9% 3.3% 5.4% 4.9% 8.4% 9.6% 12.8% 18.3% 25.4%
Teagan Cunningham 5.1% 5.6% 9.2% 7.5% 9.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.3% 10.2% 9.4% 7.8% 4.7% 1.7%
William Davis 1.8% 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 4.7% 5.7% 6.3% 8.0% 10.5% 13.8% 18.5% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.