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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.13+2.22vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.45+0.78vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.81-0.79vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.15-0.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
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4.22University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.78Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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3.21Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.72Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 45.2% | 26.0% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.4% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 9.8% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.7% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 6.1% |
| Peter Bailey | 18.4% | 19.5% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 7.8% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 11.0% |
| William Manning | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 23.4% | 18.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.