Race 14B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lachlain McGranahan 34.6% 24.9% 16.1% 11.6% 6.6% 3.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrian van der Wal 4.8% 5.9% 6.8% 8.3% 9.3% 9.3% 10.8% 10.1% 9.7% 10.6% 7.8% 4.9% 1.8%
Matt Budington 9.6% 10.7% 11.8% 11.9% 12.6% 11.2% 10.4% 7.7% 6.0% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Teagan Cunningham 4.6% 7.3% 7.4% 8.9% 8.2% 9.8% 10.8% 11.2% 9.3% 9.3% 6.8% 4.4% 1.9%
Gavin Sanborn 2.7% 3.8% 3.9% 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 6.7% 8.6% 10.8% 11.2% 13.6% 13.7% 7.8%
Nathan Selian 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.8% 7.8% 7.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.9% 11.2% 10.8% 8.2% 4.3%
John Walton 6.6% 7.3% 8.5% 9.7% 8.6% 11.3% 10.1% 11.1% 9.9% 8.4% 4.5% 3.1% 0.9%
Nicholas Reeser 17.8% 18.1% 16.5% 12.8% 11.1% 8.8% 5.8% 5.0% 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Henry Lee 5.3% 6.5% 8.8% 9.3% 10.9% 10.3% 11.0% 10.2% 10.3% 7.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.2%
Olivia Mitchell 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 3.9% 3.7% 5.3% 7.5% 11.8% 19.2% 37.4%
Bryan Trammell 5.7% 5.9% 7.8% 8.8% 9.4% 11.8% 10.7% 10.7% 9.4% 9.3% 6.1% 3.5% 1.1%
Lewis Bragg 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 3.4% 3.6% 3.9% 5.2% 7.4% 9.8% 14.2% 19.5% 25.9%
William Davis 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 2.8% 3.9% 4.3% 5.5% 6.6% 8.4% 9.7% 16.0% 19.2% 17.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.