← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.02vs Predicted
-
2Wesleyan University1.45+1.75vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.15+1.23vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University0.83+0.77vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.81-1.74vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.15vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut1.13-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
-
3.75Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
-
4.23Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.77Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
-
3.26Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
-
5.85University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
-
4.11University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 46.3% | 24.7% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 10.4% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 10.1% |
| William Manning | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 24.8% | 18.2% |
| Peter Bailey | 15.5% | 23.6% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 52.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.