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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.13+2.23vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.15+1.25vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.45-0.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.81-1.76vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
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4.23University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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4.25Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.79Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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3.24Brown University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.72Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 46.5% | 24.8% | 15.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 9.9% |
| Matthew Miranda | 8.1% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 10.6% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 11.9% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 6.1% |
| Peter Bailey | 14.9% | 24.4% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| William Manning | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 18.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.