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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+3.78vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+4.64vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.27-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+1.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.08+1.48vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.74-3.94vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.44-1.75vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.03-0.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.58-1.46vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.27-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.8710.9%1st Place
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6.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.7%1st Place
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2.81University of Southern California2.7729.0%1st Place
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3.82University of Hawaii2.2717.8%1st Place
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6.54University of California at San Diego1.386.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.8%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Los Angeles1.488.9%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Berkeley-0.082.1%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.7%1st Place
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8.25University of Washington0.443.1%1st Place
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10.52California State University Monterey Bay0.031.1%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Davis-0.581.2%1st Place
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9.75San Diego State University-0.271.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Zieba | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Hou | 29.0% | 24.1% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 17.8% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 13.5% |
| David Alexander | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 30.8% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 28.9% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.