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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.13+2.22vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.83+1.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.81-0.77vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.15-0.75vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Rhode Island2.720.4%1st Place
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4.22University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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4.73Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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3.23Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.25Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.78Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 44.7% | 26.5% | 16.2% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 9.4% |
| William Manning | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 22.5% | 18.9% |
| Peter Bailey | 17.7% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 7.6% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 10.7% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 12.0% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 6.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.