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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.15+3.13vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.13+1.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.81-0.76vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.83-0.22vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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2.04University of Rhode Island2.720.4%1st Place
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4.27University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.24Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.78Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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3.78Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Miranda | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 10.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 42.2% | 31.1% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 10.6% |
| Peter Bailey | 17.1% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| William Manning | 6.0% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 23.0% | 19.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 12.2% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 6.3% |
| Kelsey Martins | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.