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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.08+4.43vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.44+2.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.38-1.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.87-4.36vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.03+0.57vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-4.37vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.27-2.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.58-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Southern California2.7731.7%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.7410.2%1st Place
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3.77University of Hawaii2.2715.9%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Los Angeles1.487.8%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Berkeley-0.081.7%1st Place
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8.28University of Washington0.443.0%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.5%1st Place
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6.4University of California at San Diego1.386.5%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Santa Barbara1.8712.0%1st Place
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10.57California State University Monterey Bay0.030.7%1st Place
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6.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.1%1st Place
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9.8San Diego State University-0.270.9%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 31.7% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.9% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 13.9% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 29.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Casey Gignac | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.