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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+1.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.81+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.13+1.32vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.45-0.21vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.15-0.76vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.83-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of Rhode Island2.720.5%1st Place
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3.16Brown University1.810.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.79Wesleyan University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.24Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.69Northeastern University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 45.6% | 25.2% | 15.8% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Peter Bailey | 16.6% | 24.5% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 11.2% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 11.8% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 5.5% |
| Matthew Miranda | 7.9% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 10.2% |
| William Manning | 7.2% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 18.7% |
| Kelsey Martins | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.