Race 9A

penbay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Bernie Roesler 13.5% 12.2% 11.7% 12.2% 8.2% 8.9% 7.1% 6.9% 6.0% 4.7% 3.7% 2.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Andrew Meleny 6.1% 5.6% 8.2% 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 6.8% 7.6% 8.7% 8.2% 6.8% 6.7% 6.3% 3.7% 2.2%
Daniel Perkins 13.7% 12.3% 11.4% 10.0% 9.7% 10.1% 8.6% 7.3% 6.4% 3.6% 3.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1%
George Saunders 7.1% 7.7% 7.6% 8.4% 8.9% 7.4% 7.7% 7.0% 8.8% 7.0% 6.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.7%
Sean Andrew 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 4.4% 4.2% 5.1% 7.0% 6.5% 5.8% 8.4% 9.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.5% 7.1%
Joseph Kelleher 10.0% 8.3% 9.5% 8.0% 9.4% 9.2% 9.6% 8.6% 7.4% 5.8% 6.6% 3.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Jeff Goodrich 7.0% 6.0% 5.1% 6.4% 6.2% 8.3% 8.0% 8.1% 7.8% 9.1% 8.5% 7.3% 4.6% 5.5% 2.1%
Christopher Poole 5.5% 6.7% 5.2% 6.4% 6.7% 6.2% 7.8% 8.4% 6.8% 6.7% 8.4% 9.2% 7.9% 4.8% 3.3%
Christopher Edwards 1.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 3.4% 2.5% 2.3% 3.7% 4.4% 6.2% 6.9% 8.1% 11.1% 17.5% 27.5%
David Pierce 3.1% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 5.5% 5.7% 6.0% 7.1% 9.2% 10.1% 11.0% 11.7% 11.1%
Weston Barlow 5.9% 8.8% 8.7% 7.7% 8.2% 7.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.7% 8.1% 5.4% 6.8% 6.3% 2.6% 2.0%
Philip Crain 12.9% 14.7% 11.9% 11.7% 10.1% 8.2% 8.9% 5.7% 5.7% 4.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Ryan White 4.7% 5.1% 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 6.4% 6.1% 6.3% 8.1% 8.0% 9.6% 8.3% 10.0% 6.4% 4.8%
Guttorm Straume 2.0% 1.4% 2.6% 3.2% 2.2% 3.6% 3.6% 4.6% 4.8% 6.1% 6.0% 8.3% 11.2% 18.3% 22.1%
Stephen Byrne 2.3% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 3.9% 3.3% 4.3% 6.1% 5.6% 6.3% 7.2% 8.3% 13.1% 14.7% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.