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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.52+1.87vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.48+0.94vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.18+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.25-1.93vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon1.55-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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2.94Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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4.27Western Washington University0.180.1%1st Place
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2.07University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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2.85University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hickman | 18.6% | 22.5% | 23.4% | 24.2% | 11.3% |
| Taylor Martin | 16.5% | 22.4% | 23.9% | 25.5% | 11.7% |
| Rachael McCrady | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 63.7% |
| Kris Thompson | 39.9% | 28.2% | 19.5% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Stephen Moran | 19.7% | 20.8% | 24.1% | 25.2% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.