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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bastien Rasse 16.2% 16.6% 14.4% 14.0% 11.6% 11.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Dorn 5.7% 5.9% 7.0% 9.2% 9.0% 10.1% 11.3% 10.8% 10.1% 8.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.3%
Kai Ponting 5.1% 6.2% 7.2% 8.2% 9.8% 9.3% 9.0% 10.9% 10.8% 10.0% 8.0% 4.2% 1.4%
Joseph Hou 27.1% 22.5% 18.6% 12.0% 10.0% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Zieba 12.6% 11.3% 14.4% 12.0% 11.5% 10.1% 10.5% 7.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Samuel Delasanta 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 4.2% 5.4% 5.5% 7.5% 9.1% 11.2% 12.7% 14.8% 12.4% 6.8%
Gideon Burnes Heath 8.8% 9.7% 9.6% 10.4% 10.3% 12.0% 10.0% 10.5% 8.6% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Aitor Iriso 3.4% 4.9% 4.3% 5.5% 6.2% 8.8% 10.7% 10.0% 11.7% 12.7% 10.5% 7.8% 3.5%
Liam Patrick 4.0% 3.0% 4.1% 5.3% 5.9% 7.0% 9.4% 9.5% 9.7% 14.5% 12.4% 10.7% 4.5%
Luc LaMontagne 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 5.5% 7.3% 7.9% 10.4% 13.9% 20.4% 17.9%
David Alexander 10.3% 10.9% 10.2% 11.9% 12.0% 11.2% 9.2% 9.0% 7.0% 4.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Jonah Brees 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 5.3% 7.2% 11.6% 18.6% 39.7%
Casey Gignac 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 3.6% 4.2% 5.5% 8.9% 9.1% 13.8% 19.6% 24.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.