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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+4.66vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.77-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.87-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.44+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-0.26vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.44-0.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.08-0.33vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.74-5.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.58-1.14vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.27-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of Hawaii2.2716.2%1st Place
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6.66University of California at San Diego1.385.7%1st Place
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6.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Southern California2.7727.1%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.8712.6%1st Place
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8.53University of Washington0.442.8%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Los Angeles1.488.8%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.4%1st Place
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8.13California State University Monterey Bay0.444.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Berkeley-0.081.9%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.7410.3%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Davis-0.580.7%1st Place
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10.04San Diego State University-0.271.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Bastien Rasse | 16.2% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Nicholas Dorn | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
Kai Ponting | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
Joseph Hou | 27.1% | 22.5% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jake Zieba | 12.6% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Samuel Delasanta | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Aitor Iriso | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
Liam Patrick | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
Luc LaMontagne | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 17.9% |
David Alexander | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 39.7% |
Casey Gignac | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.