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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.11vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.48+0.91vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.52-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon1.55-1.14vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.18-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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2.91Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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2.84Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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2.86University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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4.27Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 40.8% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 10.5% | 4.4% |
| Taylor Martin | 17.6% | 21.9% | 24.0% | 24.7% | 11.8% |
| Brian Hickman | 18.9% | 22.2% | 24.2% | 25.3% | 9.4% |
| Stephen Moran | 18.5% | 22.3% | 24.5% | 23.7% | 11.0% |
| Rachael McCrady | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.