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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.55+1.85vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.48+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.25-0.90vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University1.52-3.14vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.18-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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2.92Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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2.1University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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2.86Oregon State University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.28Western Washington University0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Moran | 19.3% | 21.7% | 25.7% | 21.3% | 12.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 17.4% | 21.8% | 24.0% | 25.1% | 11.7% |
| Kris Thompson | 40.7% | 25.8% | 19.0% | 12.2% | 2.3% |
| Brian Hickman | 18.7% | 23.8% | 21.4% | 25.3% | 10.8% |
| Rachael McCrady | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.