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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+2.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+4.70vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+3.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.87-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.77-5.05vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.44-1.14vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.44-1.50vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.27-0.76vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.58-1.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.08-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95University of Hawaii2.2716.2%1st Place
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6.7University of California at San Diego1.385.8%1st Place
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6.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.3%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.8%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles1.487.8%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.8712.2%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.3%1st Place
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2.95University of Southern California2.7728.8%1st Place
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7.86California State University Monterey Bay0.444.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Washington0.442.7%1st Place
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10.24San Diego State University-0.271.9%1st Place
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10.91University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Berkeley-0.081.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 16.2% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| David Alexander | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 28.8% | 21.6% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 6.8% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 24.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 39.6% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.