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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.87+1.70vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.08+4.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.52vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.27+2.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.38-1.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.48-3.55vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.03+0.60vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.44-2.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.58-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.74-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Southern California2.7731.5%1st Place
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3.84University of Hawaii2.2716.8%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.8711.4%1st Place
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6.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.2%1st Place
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9.39University of California at Berkeley-0.081.8%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.5%1st Place
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9.76San Diego State University-0.271.9%1st Place
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6.36University of California at San Diego1.385.0%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Los Angeles1.488.2%1st Place
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10.6California State University Monterey Bay0.030.9%1st Place
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8.28University of Washington0.442.8%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Davis-0.581.1%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 31.5% | 24.3% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.8% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 13.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 17.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 29.7% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 31.5% |
| David Alexander | 9.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.