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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon0.76+1.85vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.90+0.71vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.47-0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.11-1.53vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-2.18-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Oregon0.760.2%1st Place
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2.71Western Washington University0.900.2%1st Place
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2.1Oregon State University1.470.4%1st Place
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2.47University of Washington1.110.3%1st Place
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4.86Western Washington University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fritsen | 16.7% | 21.0% | 26.9% | 30.9% | 4.5% |
| Jake Fetterman | 19.7% | 22.6% | 26.6% | 28.8% | 2.3% |
| Cody Odou | 37.4% | 28.6% | 20.4% | 13.3% | 0.3% |
| Kate Flanagan | 25.5% | 26.9% | 24.2% | 21.9% | 1.5% |
| Emily LeValley | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 91.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.