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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+3.08vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+3.59vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.27-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.45vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.08+2.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.87-3.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.38-2.46vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.03+0.42vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.44-2.65vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.27-2.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.58-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Southern California2.7729.5%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.7410.2%1st Place
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6.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.8%1st Place
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3.88University of Hawaii2.2716.1%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Los Angeles1.488.8%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Santa Cruz1.033.8%1st Place
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9.39University of California at Berkeley-0.081.9%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.8712.3%1st Place
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6.54University of California at San Diego1.385.7%1st Place
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10.42California State University Monterey Bay0.031.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Washington0.442.8%1st Place
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9.75San Diego State University-0.271.5%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Davis-0.580.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 29.5% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.1% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 12.8% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 29.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 5.3% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 19.8% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.